In a market where some traders are rational (maximize expected utility) and others are systematically biased (deviate from expected utility due to some bias parameter, q), do equilibrium prices necessarily depend on q? In this note, focusing on the case where there is an aggregate and systematic bias in the population, we show that market prices can still be unbiased. Hence, we establish that systematically biased agents do not necessarily imply biased market prices. We show that the parametric model we use also predicts observed deviations from expected utility in laboratory and market environments
The role of competitive markets as efficient aggregators of decentralized information is a fundament...
One feature of experimental work is the heterogeneity in risk attitudes and probability distortion d...
In a general equilibrium model with a continuum of traders and bounded aggregate endowment, I invest...
In this chapter, two studies are reported which test whether simple biases in the probability judgm...
Microeconomic theory typically concerns exchange between individuals or firms in a market setting....
Conventional wisdom suggests that investors' independent biases should cancel each other out and hav...
Aggregation? Conventional wisdom suggests that investors ’ independent biases should cancel each oth...
Conventional wisdom suggests that investors\u27 independent biases should cancel each other out and ...
We study the informational efficiency of a market with a single traded asset. The price initially di...
Prediction markets are specific financial markets designed to produce forecasts of future events, su...
We show that even in the absence of data on individual decisions, the distribution of individual att...
The efficient market hypothesis predicts that asset prices reflect all available information. A semi...
We design an experiment to study the determinants of price movement and consumption smoothing behavi...
Consumers often pay different prices for the same product bought in the same store at the same time....
The literature suggests that probability weighting and choice set dependence in- fluence risky choic...
The role of competitive markets as efficient aggregators of decentralized information is a fundament...
One feature of experimental work is the heterogeneity in risk attitudes and probability distortion d...
In a general equilibrium model with a continuum of traders and bounded aggregate endowment, I invest...
In this chapter, two studies are reported which test whether simple biases in the probability judgm...
Microeconomic theory typically concerns exchange between individuals or firms in a market setting....
Conventional wisdom suggests that investors' independent biases should cancel each other out and hav...
Aggregation? Conventional wisdom suggests that investors ’ independent biases should cancel each oth...
Conventional wisdom suggests that investors\u27 independent biases should cancel each other out and ...
We study the informational efficiency of a market with a single traded asset. The price initially di...
Prediction markets are specific financial markets designed to produce forecasts of future events, su...
We show that even in the absence of data on individual decisions, the distribution of individual att...
The efficient market hypothesis predicts that asset prices reflect all available information. A semi...
We design an experiment to study the determinants of price movement and consumption smoothing behavi...
Consumers often pay different prices for the same product bought in the same store at the same time....
The literature suggests that probability weighting and choice set dependence in- fluence risky choic...
The role of competitive markets as efficient aggregators of decentralized information is a fundament...
One feature of experimental work is the heterogeneity in risk attitudes and probability distortion d...
In a general equilibrium model with a continuum of traders and bounded aggregate endowment, I invest...