We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to assess the need to use non-linear models to describe business cycle dynamic behaviour. Our approach is model (estimation)-free, based on testing only. We aim to maximize power to detect non-linearities while, simultaneously, avoiding the pitfalls of data mining. The evidence we find does not support some descriptions because the presence of significant non-linearities is observed for two-thirds of the countries only. Linear models cannot be simply dismissed as they are frequently useful. Contrarily to common knowledge, non-linear business cycle variation does not seem to be a universal, undisputable and clearly dominant stylized fact. This find...
It is often suggested that non-linear models are needed to capture business cycle features. In this ...
This paper studies linear and nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of business cycles i...
We consider the extent to which different time-series models can generate simulated data with the sa...
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to as...
The authors use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro a...
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to as...
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to as...
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to (r...
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to (r...
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to (r...
Writers on the business cycle often emphasize that non-linear models are needed to account for certa...
In this paper, we consider the ability of time-series models to generate simulated data that display...
This thesis evaluates different specifications of non-linear time series models applied to macroecon...
During the past few years investigators have found evidence indicating that various time-series repr...
We propose a model diagnostic device to compare different linear and non linear parametric time seri...
It is often suggested that non-linear models are needed to capture business cycle features. In this ...
This paper studies linear and nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of business cycles i...
We consider the extent to which different time-series models can generate simulated data with the sa...
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to as...
The authors use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro a...
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to as...
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to as...
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to (r...
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to (r...
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to (r...
Writers on the business cycle often emphasize that non-linear models are needed to account for certa...
In this paper, we consider the ability of time-series models to generate simulated data that display...
This thesis evaluates different specifications of non-linear time series models applied to macroecon...
During the past few years investigators have found evidence indicating that various time-series repr...
We propose a model diagnostic device to compare different linear and non linear parametric time seri...
It is often suggested that non-linear models are needed to capture business cycle features. In this ...
This paper studies linear and nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of business cycles i...
We consider the extent to which different time-series models can generate simulated data with the sa...