Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time series of changes in physical climate parameters. Here, we develop two such methods, Surrogate/Model Mixed Ensemble (SMME) and Monte Carlo Pattern/Residual (MCPR), and apply them to construct joint probability density functions (PDFs) of temperature and precipitation change over the 21st century for every county in the United States. Both methods produce likely (67% probability) temperature and precipitation projections consistent with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s interpretation of an equal-weighted Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) ensemble, but also provide full PDFs that include tail estimates. For example...
These are binned projections of daily weather (1981-2100) used in the study, “Estimating Economic Da...
Trustworthy probabilistic projections of regional climate are essential for society to plan for futu...
Regional temperature change projections for the twenty-first century are generated using a multimode...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
This document is the README for the complete dataset.Quantitative assessment of climate change risk ...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Source code for the study as represented by the following abstract:Quantitative assessment of climat...
These are binned projections of daily weather (1981-2100) used in the study, “Estimating Economic Da...
Trustworthy probabilistic projections of regional climate are essential for society to plan for futu...
Regional temperature change projections for the twenty-first century are generated using a multimode...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
This document is the README for the complete dataset.Quantitative assessment of climate change risk ...
Quantitative assessment of climate change risk requires a method for constructing probabilistic time...
Source code for the study as represented by the following abstract:Quantitative assessment of climat...
These are binned projections of daily weather (1981-2100) used in the study, “Estimating Economic Da...
Trustworthy probabilistic projections of regional climate are essential for society to plan for futu...
Regional temperature change projections for the twenty-first century are generated using a multimode...