Add to ORKGThis paper summarizes the key conditions under which the index method is valuable for forecasting and describes the procedures one should use when developing index models. The paper also addresses the specific concern of selecting inferior candidates when using the bio-index as a nomination helper. Political decision-makers should not use the bioindex as a stand-alone method but should combine forecasts from a variety of different methods that draw upon different information
I examined six ways of selecting forecasting methods: Convenience, “what’s easy,” is inexpensive, bu...
Ideally, presidential elections should be decided based on how the candidates would handle issues fa...
A large literature following Hirsch (2005) has proposed citation-based indexes that could be used to...
This paper summarizes the key conditions under which the index method is valuable for forecasting an...
This paper summarizes the key conditions under which the index method is valuable for forecasting an...
Lichtman (2005) reports that the Keys model has been able to pick the winner of every presidential e...
We used 59 biographical variables to create a “bio-index” for forecasting U.S. presidential election...
Using the index method, we developed the PollyBio model to predict election outcomes. The model, bas...
Abstract. Traditional election forecasting models are estimated from time-series data on relevant va...
We used 59 biographical variables to create a “bio-index ” for forecasting U.S. presidential electio...
This comment uses the Democratic Party's nomination race from the 1924 U.S. Presidential election to...
When deciding for whom to vote, voters should select the candidate they expect to best handle issues...
We address the problem of selecting the common factors that are relevant for forecasting macroeconom...
Ideally, presidential elections should be decided based on how the candidates would handle issues fa...
Forecasting using "diffusion indices" has received a good deal of attention in recent years. The ide...
I examined six ways of selecting forecasting methods: Convenience, “what’s easy,” is inexpensive, bu...
Ideally, presidential elections should be decided based on how the candidates would handle issues fa...
A large literature following Hirsch (2005) has proposed citation-based indexes that could be used to...
This paper summarizes the key conditions under which the index method is valuable for forecasting an...
This paper summarizes the key conditions under which the index method is valuable for forecasting an...
Lichtman (2005) reports that the Keys model has been able to pick the winner of every presidential e...
We used 59 biographical variables to create a “bio-index” for forecasting U.S. presidential election...
Using the index method, we developed the PollyBio model to predict election outcomes. The model, bas...
Abstract. Traditional election forecasting models are estimated from time-series data on relevant va...
We used 59 biographical variables to create a “bio-index ” for forecasting U.S. presidential electio...
This comment uses the Democratic Party's nomination race from the 1924 U.S. Presidential election to...
When deciding for whom to vote, voters should select the candidate they expect to best handle issues...
We address the problem of selecting the common factors that are relevant for forecasting macroeconom...
Ideally, presidential elections should be decided based on how the candidates would handle issues fa...
Forecasting using "diffusion indices" has received a good deal of attention in recent years. The ide...
I examined six ways of selecting forecasting methods: Convenience, “what’s easy,” is inexpensive, bu...
Ideally, presidential elections should be decided based on how the candidates would handle issues fa...
A large literature following Hirsch (2005) has proposed citation-based indexes that could be used to...