We inspect the question how to adapt to macro-economical variables those probability of default (PD) estimates where Merton's model assumptions cannot be used. The need for this is to obtain trustworthy estimates of PD from a given economical situation. The structure of a known market-credit risk model is adapted. The key concept in this adaptation is the assumption of a different probabilistic situation for a firm before and at (first) default. If a corporate firm defaults we use a different probabilistic relation between macro-economical and market risk than in a firm's normal not default operation. We found a remarkable resemblance between relativity of physical space-time and the economical framework of variables. This means a solution ...
Factor models for portfolio credit risk assume that defaults are independent conditional on a small ...
The probabilities of joint default among companies are one of the major concerns in credit risk mana...
Mainstream macro-models have assumed away financial frictions, in particular default. The minimum ad...
We inspect the question how to adapt to macro-economical variables those probability of default (PD)...
We propose and estimate several models controlling for firm-specific information, to examine the rel...
The internal-ratings based Basel II approach increases the need for the development of more realisti...
We consider a credit risk model with two industrial sectors, where defaults of corporations would be...
This paper examines a new model of credit risk measurement, the Variance Gamma- Merton one, which se...
This thesis develops Bayesian models to explain credit default and migration risk. Credit risk mode...
In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the way credit risk is affected by and affects the...
In this paper we propose a straightforward, flexible and intuitive computational framework for the m...
The prediction of the time of default in a credit risk setting via survival analysis needs to take a...
Empirical estimation of default probability through structural approach in the context of macroecono...
Standard approaches to estimating credit default probability estimation have certain drawbacks, most...
This paper presents the Conditional Probability of Default (CoPoD) methodology for modelling the pro...
Factor models for portfolio credit risk assume that defaults are independent conditional on a small ...
The probabilities of joint default among companies are one of the major concerns in credit risk mana...
Mainstream macro-models have assumed away financial frictions, in particular default. The minimum ad...
We inspect the question how to adapt to macro-economical variables those probability of default (PD)...
We propose and estimate several models controlling for firm-specific information, to examine the rel...
The internal-ratings based Basel II approach increases the need for the development of more realisti...
We consider a credit risk model with two industrial sectors, where defaults of corporations would be...
This paper examines a new model of credit risk measurement, the Variance Gamma- Merton one, which se...
This thesis develops Bayesian models to explain credit default and migration risk. Credit risk mode...
In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the way credit risk is affected by and affects the...
In this paper we propose a straightforward, flexible and intuitive computational framework for the m...
The prediction of the time of default in a credit risk setting via survival analysis needs to take a...
Empirical estimation of default probability through structural approach in the context of macroecono...
Standard approaches to estimating credit default probability estimation have certain drawbacks, most...
This paper presents the Conditional Probability of Default (CoPoD) methodology for modelling the pro...
Factor models for portfolio credit risk assume that defaults are independent conditional on a small ...
The probabilities of joint default among companies are one of the major concerns in credit risk mana...
Mainstream macro-models have assumed away financial frictions, in particular default. The minimum ad...