analysis and evidence from the perspective of Indonesia

Thesis(Master) --KDI School:Master of Public Policy,2016Free Trade Agreement (FTA) is a consequence of unavoidable trade liberalization, and also regarded as one of the most effective system to intensify trade relation between member country by eliminate trade barriers. Among all free trade agreements that have been signed by Indonesia, ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand Free Trade Agreement (AANZFTA) is one of the most recent. Ideally, after FTA has been on force, it is essential for policy makers to evaluate the impact. Actual result of FTA might be completely different from the projected outcomes. The aim of this study is to present how impactful AANZFTA on the export value, as ex-post evaluation by utilizing ARIMA forecasting models. This study attempts to figure out whether the implementation of AANZFTA can boost the exports value for both Indonesia and Australia. The data observed in this research is both export and import of Indonesia to Australia, before and after the agreement entered into force.masterpublishedRima CAHYANINGRUM