An optimization-based framework for modeling counterterrorism strategies

The paper introduces the subject of terrorism and counterterrorism by means of a two-person bimatrix game that provides some insight into the behavior of the two players. We then examine three important areas in counterterrorism tasks: the detection of terrorist cells and how to render them inoperable, the fortification of assets in order to protect them from terrorist attacks, and the optimal evacuation of people from an area affected by terrorism. Basic mathematical models are formulated and demonstrated. The paper concludes with some thoughts on potential extensions of the models presented here