In this paper, a simultaneous equation model is employed to investigate the relative effects of: (1) economic conditions, (2) incumbency, and (3) recognition of the presidential party’s candidate on the dual decisions of the individuals to participate and vote in congressional elections. My finding is decidedly negative regarding the effect of economic conditions on both turnout and voting for the presidential party. I have, however, established the relative effects of both incumbency and recognition
Full-information maximum likelihood (FIML) estimates of the simultaneous probit-Tobit (SPT) model su...
Using data on elections to the United States House of Representatives (1946-1998), this paper exploi...
Estimates vote functions for presidential, House and Senate elections following the premise that vot...
In this paper, a simultaneous equation model is employed to investigate the relative effects of: (1)...
This paper critically reviews the extensive literature on retrospective voting in response to econom...
Economic voting has been blamed for Bush’s loss in 1992, Carter’s loss in 1980, and attributed to Cl...
Forthcoming, Electoral Studies Reevaluating the Sociotropic Economic Voting Hypothesis One of the ca...
Given the severe shock of the 2008 economic crisis, this paper examines the relationship the relatio...
Several previous studies have found considerable evidence of incumbency-oriented voting, i.e. voting...
This paper critically reviews the extensive literature on retrospective voting in response to econom...
of the canonical causal claims in political science links individuals ’ evaluations of the national ...
Estimation of economic voting models is complicated by the possibility that voters treat certain eco...
A review of the Political Business Cycle (PBC) literature provides grounds for cautious optimism: th...
Several studies in economics have derived estimates of economic activity in the years prior to World...
In previous work I have developed an equation explaining votes for president in the United States th...
Full-information maximum likelihood (FIML) estimates of the simultaneous probit-Tobit (SPT) model su...
Using data on elections to the United States House of Representatives (1946-1998), this paper exploi...
Estimates vote functions for presidential, House and Senate elections following the premise that vot...
In this paper, a simultaneous equation model is employed to investigate the relative effects of: (1)...
This paper critically reviews the extensive literature on retrospective voting in response to econom...
Economic voting has been blamed for Bush’s loss in 1992, Carter’s loss in 1980, and attributed to Cl...
Forthcoming, Electoral Studies Reevaluating the Sociotropic Economic Voting Hypothesis One of the ca...
Given the severe shock of the 2008 economic crisis, this paper examines the relationship the relatio...
Several previous studies have found considerable evidence of incumbency-oriented voting, i.e. voting...
This paper critically reviews the extensive literature on retrospective voting in response to econom...
of the canonical causal claims in political science links individuals ’ evaluations of the national ...
Estimation of economic voting models is complicated by the possibility that voters treat certain eco...
A review of the Political Business Cycle (PBC) literature provides grounds for cautious optimism: th...
Several studies in economics have derived estimates of economic activity in the years prior to World...
In previous work I have developed an equation explaining votes for president in the United States th...
Full-information maximum likelihood (FIML) estimates of the simultaneous probit-Tobit (SPT) model su...
Using data on elections to the United States House of Representatives (1946-1998), this paper exploi...
Estimates vote functions for presidential, House and Senate elections following the premise that vot...