SIPPOM-WOSR: A Simulator for Integrated Pathogen POpulation Management of phoma stem canker on Winter OilSeed Rape: I. Description of the model

To durably control phoma stem canker (Leptosphaeria maculans/Leptosphaeria biglobosa) in oilseed rape by preserving the efficacy of specific resistances, the design of cropping systems is required, combining different aspects of crop management over time and at the regional scale. Modelling is a practical means to do so. To this end, the structure of SIPPOM, a Simulator for Integrated Pathogen POpulation Management, is presented. By linking epidemiological, population and crop model approaches, it simulates both the quantitative evolution (size) and qualitative evolution (genetic structure) of L. maculans population under the influence of various cropping systems. It involves five sub-models: (i) primary inoculum production; (ii) ascospore dispersal; (iii) crop development; (iv) plant infection, disease severity, and yield loss; and (v) changes in the genetic structure of pathogen populations over time. The input variables are weather data, soil characteristics, the description of cropping systems (crop sequence and winter oilseed rape crop management, including cultivars, sowing, fungicide, and tillage) and their spatial distribution (the model is spatially explicit), plus the initial size and genetic structure of pathogen populations. The genetic evolutionary forces taken into account are migration, selection, and recombination. The model simulates disease severity and the genetic structure of the pathogen population, in addition to the attainable yield less yield loss caused by the disease. The economic and environmental performances of the simulated strategies are computed using technical operation costs, crop prices, and yields. The underlying hypotheses are discussed in light of advantages and possible improvements of the model. Possible uses of SIPPOM are proposed with respect to the design of collective strategies for the durable control of phoma stem canker on winter oilseed rape at a regional scal