Impact of Arctic Oscillation on the East Asian climate: A review

AbstractThe Arctic Oscillation (AO), which depicts a most dominant large-scale seesaw between the mid-latitudes and Arctic atmospheric mass, influences climate over Eurasia, North America, eastern Canada, North Africa, and the Middle East, especially during boreal winter. This review, with a special focus on the East Asian region, summarizes the climatic impact of AO. It begins with a description of the spatial structure of AO and the related climatic anomalies. The relationship of winter AO with the simultaneous East Asian winter climate (e.g. the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM), cold surges/cold waves, and precipitation) and its instability are then followed. It is generally accepted that, through impacting the Siberian high, westerly wind, blocking frequency, Rossby wave activities etc., a positive phase of winter AO is associated with a weaker-than-normal EAWM, warmer conditions in East Asia, less frequency of cold surges/cold waves, increasing (decreasing) of winter precipitation in south (north) parts of East Asia; and vice versa. Notably, the pathways that the winter AO exerts impact are different. Besides, the AO-EAWM and the AO-cold surges/cold wave linkages have spatial and temporal variations. Subsequently, an overview of the inter-seasonal linkages between the East Asian summer monsoon with the preceding spring/winter AO is presented. There is a generally accepted knowledge that a positive spring AO is followed by significant positive summer precipitation anomalies in southern China and western Pacific as well as negative ones in the lower valley of Yangtze River and southern Japan. Finally, this review synthesizes the impact of winter/spring AO on the East Asian spring climate (e.g. dust storm, temperature, and precipitation) and discusses the potential predictive value of AO. The projection of AO and its impact on the East Asian climate in future has been barely explored. We conclude that, along with the long-term observation data, the linkage between AO and the East Asian climate on the sub-seasonal and decadal time scales, how tropical and extratropical forcing modulates the linkage and how the linkage evolves under future warming conditions should be more investigated. Notably, the change of AO during 1990–2013 winters could explain the Eurasian cooling but failed to explain the Arctic warming. In the future, the effect of Ural blocking on Arctic and Eurasian climate and their connection might be a hot topic