The Construction Process of the Synthetic Risk Model for Military Shipbuilding Projects in Brazil

AbstractThe scarcity of federal resources allocated to the Ministry of Defense causes the need for Brazilian Armed Forces to implement strategies that may allow achieving “more with less”. For the Navy of Brazil, this strategy includes the need to improve and implement risk management tools and techniques in large defense projects. In this sense, the present study aims at contributing to this process through the design and validation of a synthetic risk model for military shipbuilding, containing the main risk events, causes and associated effects that may affect the success of these projects, in terms of costs and deadlines. This model will help in the prediction and control of these variables and their possible effects, enabling the anticipation of responses and the reduction of uncertainty