Climate Warming and Drought in the Bialowieza Forest from 1950–2015 and Their Impact on the Dieback of Norway Spruce Stands

The Bialowieza Primeval Forest (BF) is one of the well-known forests in Central Europe. The most common tree species in BF was Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) H. Karst), comprising 26%. However, a mass dieback of spruce has occurred during recent years. The spruce dieback in Bialowieza Forest is directly caused by the spruce bark beetle. However, the mass appearance of this pest can be a consequence of global warming and drought. Changes in air temperature were presented and drought indices were calculated as follows: standardized precipitation index, Palmer drought severity index, climatic water balance and soil water storage deficit. The warming of the climate of Bialowieza from 1950 to 2015 is comparable to that observed throughout central Europe. The temperature increased by 1.27 °C. The occurrence of drought from 1950 to 1966 and from 1985 to 2015 had a similar frequency. From 1963 to 1966, the volume of removed deadwood from the managed part of Bialowieza Forest was 27 thousand m3 but from 2012 to 2016, the volume was more than one million m3