Low TREM1 expression in whole blood predicts anti-TNF response in inflammatory bowel diseaseResearch in context

Background: With the changed therapeutic armamentarium for Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), biomarkers predicting treatment response are urgently needed. We studied whole blood and mucosal expression of genes previously reported to predict outcome to anti-TNF therapy, and investigated if the signature was specific for anti-TNF agents. Methods: We prospectively included 54 active IBD patients (24CD, 30UC) initiating anti-TNF therapy, as well as 22 CD patients initiating ustekinumab and 51 patients initiating vedolizumab (25CD, 26UC). Whole blood expression of OSM, TREM1, TNF and TNFR2 was measured prior to start of therapy using qPCR, and mucosal gene expression in inflamed biopsies using RNA-sequencing. Response was defined as endoscopic remission (SES-CD ≤ 2 at week 24 for CD and Mayo endoscopic sub-score ≤ 1 at week 10 for UC). Findings: Baseline whole blood TREM1 was downregulated in future anti-TNF responders, both in UC (FC = 0.53, p = .001) and CD (FC = 0.66, p = .007), as well as in the complete cohort (FC = 0.67, p < .001). Receiver operator characteristic statistics showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.78 (p = .001). A similar accuracy could be achieved with mucosal TREM1 (AUC 0.77, p = .003), which outperformed the accuracy of serum TREM1 (AUC 0.58, p = .31). Although differentially expressed in tissue, OSM, TNF and TNFR2 were not differentially expressed in whole blood. The TREM1 predictive signal was anti-TNF specific, as no changes were seen in ustekinumab and vedolizumab treated patients. Interpretation: We identified low TREM-1 as a specific biomarker for anti-TNF induced endoscopic remission. These results can aid in the selection of therapy in biologic-naïve patients. Keywords: TREM1, IBD, Anti-TNF, Infliximab, Adalimumab, Personalised medicine, Biomarker, Endoscopic remissio