CHA2DS2-VASC score as a preprocedural predictor of contrast-induced nephropathy among patients with chronic total occlusion undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: a single-center experience

Abstract Background The usefulness of the CHA2DS2-VASC risk score (CVRS) in predicting the occurrence of contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) among patients with chronic total occlusion (CTO) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remains unclear. Method A total of 239 patients with CTO who underwent PCI were included in this study. They were divided into 3 groups according to the CVRS: low-risk group (1 point, n = 64), intermediate-risk group (2 points, n = 135), and high-risk group (≥3 points, n = 40). Baseline serum creatinine was determined upon admission before the procedure. The serum creatinine level was monitored for 72 h post-procedure to determine the occurrence of CIN. Results The total incidence of CIN in patients with CTO who underwent PCI was 16.3%. The average CVRS in the CIN group was significantly higher than that in the non-CIN group (3.1 ± 1.2 VS 2.1 ± 1.1, P < 0.001). The incidence of CIN in the high-risk group was 5.6 times higher than that in the low-risk group (37.5% VS 6.3%, P < 0.001). Similar to the Mehran risk score (AUC, 0.754; 95% CI, 0.698–0.810; P < 0.001), the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed a good diagnostic value of the CVRS in predicting CIN among patients with CTO who underwent interventional therapy for having CVRS≥3 (sensitivity, 69.2%; specificity, 78.0%; AUC, 0.742; 95% CI, 0.682–0.797; P < 0.001). The multivariate analysis showed that the higher pulse pressure and contrast volume, lower baseline glomerular filtration rate, and CVRS ≥3 were independent predictors of CIN. Conclusions The CVRS can be used as a simple pre-procedural predictor of CIN among patients with CTO undergoing PCI