A ‘Comprehensive Visual Rating Scale’ for predicting progression to dementia in patients with mild cognitive impairment

BackgroundNumerous efforts have been made to identify biomarkers for predicting the progression of dementia in patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), and recently, a comprehensive visual rating scale (CVRS) based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has been validated to assess structural changes in the brain of elderly patients. Based on this, the present study investigated the use of CVRS for predicting dementia and elucidated its association with cognitive change in patients with MCI over a three-year follow-up.MethodsWe included 340 patients with MCI with more than one follow-up visit. Data were obtained from the Alzheimer’s disease Neuroimaging Initiative study. We assessed all the patients using CVRS and determined their progression to dementia during a follow-up period of over 3 years. The cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze hazard ratios (HRs) of CVRS for disease progression. Further, multiple cognitive measures of the patients over time were fitted using the random effect model to assess the effect of initial CVRS score on subsequent cognitive changes.ResultsOf 340 patients, 69 (20.2%) progressed to dementia and the median baseline score (interquartile range) of CVRS significantly differed between stable MCI and progressive MCI (9 (5–13) vs 13 (8–17), pConclusionsBaseline CVRS predicted the progression to dementia in patients with MCI, and was independently associated with longitudinal cognitive decline.