Overconfidence is universal? Elicitation of Genuine Overconfidence (EGO) procedure reveals systematic differences across domain, task knowledge, and incentives in four populations - Fig 5

Uncertainty in Placement for Empathy (a) without incentives and (b) with incentives and for Math (c) without incentives and (d) with incentives. Overall, the Hong Kong Chinese and Japanese show more uncertainty than the Canadians (controlling for demographics) and we find more uncertainty in general when incentivized. Incentives increase uncertainty and uncertainty is greater for the more uncertain task, empathy. Error bars are 95% confidence intervals.