Distribution of projected outbreak duration from stochastic branching process model.

Projections of Ebola outbreak size and duration with and without vaccine use in Équateur, Democratic Republic of Congo, as of May 27, 2018

J. Daniel Kelly (2293879)
Lee Worden (816205)
S. Rae Wannier (6433208)
Nicole A. Hoff (5293787)
Patrick Mukadi (5293796)
Cyrus Sinai (5293784)
Sarah Ackley (816206)
Xianyun Chen (301957)
Daozhou Gao (116225)
Bernice Selo (6433211)
Mathais Mossoko (6433214)
Emile Okitolonda-Wemakoy (6433217)
Eugene T. Richardson (561013)
George W. Rutherford (62679)
Thomas M. Lietman (106610)
Jean Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum (735610)
Anne W. Rimoin (131501)
Travis C. Porco (116223)

March 2019

As of May 27, 2018, 6 suspected, 13 probable and 35 confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) had...

Projections of Ebola outbreak size and duration with and without vaccine use in Équateur, Democratic Republic of Congo, as of May 27, 2018.

Kelly, J Daniel
Worden, Lee
Wannier, S Rae
Hoff, Nicole A
Mukadi, Patrick
Sinai, Cyrus
Ackley, Sarah
Chen, Xianyun
Gao, Daozhou
Selo, Bernice
Mossoko, Mathais
Okitolonda-Wemakoy, Emile
Richardson, Eugene T
Rutherford, George W
Lietman, Thomas M
Muyembe-Tamfum, Jean Jacques
Rimoin, Anne W
Porco, Travis C

January 2019

As of May 27, 2018, 6 suspected, 13 probable and 35 confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) had...

The probabilities of an outbreak occurring under the eight different scenarios considered and the cases prevented per vaccine distributed.

Phillip Schumm (363351)
Walter Schumm (363350)
Caterina Scoglio (319581)

March 2013

<p>An outbreak is defined as the occurrence of at least one secondary infection from the initial inf...

Distribution of projected outbreak size from stochastic branching process model.

J. Daniel Kelly (2293879)
Lee Worden (816205)
S. Rae Wannier (6433208)
Nicole A. Hoff (5293787)
Patrick Mukadi (5293796)
Cyrus Sinai (5293784)
Sarah Ackley (816206)
Xianyun Chen (301957)
Daozhou Gao (116225)
Bernice Selo (6433211)
Mathais Mossoko (6433214)
Emile Okitolonda-Wemakoy (6433217)
Eugene T. Richardson (561013)
George W. Rutherford (62679)
Thomas M. Lietman (106610)
Jean Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum (735610)
Anne W. Rimoin (131501)
Travis C. Porco (116223)

March 2019

Mean, median and 95% prediction interval of outbreak size, by proportion of vaccine coverage, using ...

Branching process models for surveillance of infectious diseases controlled by mass vaccination

Farrington, C.P.
Kanaan, M.N.
Gay, N.J.

April 2003

Mass vaccination programmes aim to maintain the effective reproduction number R of an infection belo...

Distribution of outbreak sizes by random initial infection seeds.

Luis E. C. Rocha (166213)
Vincent D. Blondel (214067)

March 2013

<p>Fraction of times an epidemic outbreak with size is observed at time . The results correspond t...

Probabilistic scoring for stochastic branching process model, regression models and Gott’s Law.

J. Daniel Kelly (2293879)
Lee Worden (816205)
S. Rae Wannier (6433208)
Nicole A. Hoff (5293787)
Patrick Mukadi (5293796)
Cyrus Sinai (5293784)
Sarah Ackley (816206)
Xianyun Chen (301957)
Daozhou Gao (116225)
Bernice Selo (6433211)
Mathais Mossoko (6433214)
Emile Okitolonda-Wemakoy (6433217)
Eugene T. Richardson (561013)
George W. Rutherford (62679)
Thomas M. Lietman (106610)
Jean Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum (735610)
Anne W. Rimoin (131501)
Travis C. Porco (116223)

March 2019

Date of prediction, vaccine coverage, inclusion of suspected cases and log-likelihood. For the regre...

A Stochastic Model for CD4+ T Cell Proliferation and Dissemination Network in Primary Immune Response.

Boianelli, Alessandro
Pettini, Elena
Prota, Gennaro
Medaglini, Donata
Vicino, Antonio

January 2015

The study of the initial phase of the adaptive immune response after first antigen encounter provide...

Predicted number of reported cholera cases in the targeted population (n = 1.4 million) following implementation of the vaccination program.

Ashraful Islam Khan (236188)
Ann Levin (361456)
Dennis L. Chao (119857)
Denise DeRoeck (5832239)
Dobromir T. Dimitrov (669490)
Jahangir A. M. Khan (632407)
Muhammad Shariful Islam (5832242)
Mohammad Ali (73095)
Md. Taufiqul Islam (5832245)
Abdur Razzaque Sarker (2167912)
John D. Clemens (148728)
Firdausi Qadri (89170)

October 2018

A) The simulated number of reported cases. Different target populations were targeted for vaccinatio...

Printed in Great Britain Branching process models for surveillance of infectious diseases controlled by mass vaccination

C. P. Farrington
M. N. Kanaan
N. J. Gay

February 2015

Mass vaccination programmes aim to maintain the effective reproduction number R of an infection belo...

The expected time to vaccination for four different vaccine series across different demographic groups, according to a fully adjusted accelerated failure time model with a Weibull distribution.

Matthew L. Boulton (563930)
Bradley F. Carlson (4471489)
Abram L. Wagner (563927)
Julia M. Porth (4060477)
Berhanu Gebremeskel (6377099)
Yemesrach Abeje (4285645)

February 2019

The expected time to vaccination for four different vaccine series across different demographic grou...

Duration of a minor epidemic

William Tritch
Linda J.S. Allen

January 2018

Disease outbreaks in stochastic SIR epidemic models are characterized as either minor or major. When...

A Stochastic Model for CD4+ T Cell Proliferation and Dissemination Network in Primary Immune Response

Alessandro Boianelli (131403)
Elena Pettini (352296)
Gennaro Prota (352299)
Donata Medaglini (271513)
Antonio Vicino (131414)

August 2015

<div><p>The study of the initial phase of the adaptive immune response after first antigen encounter...

Stochastic methodology for the study of an epidemic decay phase, based on a branching model

Penisson, Sophie
Jacob, Christine

January 2012

International audienceWe present a stochastic methodology to study the decay phase of an epidemic. I...

Ensemble prediction of expected outbreak duration with the IHW method.

Tom Lindström (106326)
Michael Tildesley (132219)
Colleen Webb (732661)

April 2015

<p>Panels A and C show ensemble estimates of mean duration for the implemented control action of the...

Projections of Ebola outbreak size and duration with and without vaccine use in Équateur, Democratic Republic of Congo, as of May 27, 2018

J. Daniel Kelly (2293879)
Lee Worden (816205)
S. Rae Wannier (6433208)
Nicole A. Hoff (5293787)
Patrick Mukadi (5293796)
Cyrus Sinai (5293784)
Sarah Ackley (816206)
Xianyun Chen (301957)
Daozhou Gao (116225)
Bernice Selo (6433211)
Mathais Mossoko (6433214)
Emile Okitolonda-Wemakoy (6433217)
Eugene T. Richardson (561013)
George W. Rutherford (62679)
Thomas M. Lietman (106610)
Jean Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum (735610)
Anne W. Rimoin (131501)
Travis C. Porco (116223)

March 2019

As of May 27, 2018, 6 suspected, 13 probable and 35 confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) had...

Projections of Ebola outbreak size and duration with and without vaccine use in Équateur, Democratic Republic of Congo, as of May 27, 2018.

Kelly, J Daniel
Worden, Lee
Wannier, S Rae
Hoff, Nicole A
Mukadi, Patrick
Sinai, Cyrus
Ackley, Sarah
Chen, Xianyun
Gao, Daozhou
Selo, Bernice
Mossoko, Mathais
Okitolonda-Wemakoy, Emile
Richardson, Eugene T
Rutherford, George W
Lietman, Thomas M
Muyembe-Tamfum, Jean Jacques
Rimoin, Anne W
Porco, Travis C

January 2019

As of May 27, 2018, 6 suspected, 13 probable and 35 confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) had...

The probabilities of an outbreak occurring under the eight different scenarios considered and the cases prevented per vaccine distributed.

Phillip Schumm (363351)
Walter Schumm (363350)
Caterina Scoglio (319581)

March 2013

<p>An outbreak is defined as the occurrence of at least one secondary infection from the initial inf...

Distribution of projected outbreak size from stochastic branching process model.

J. Daniel Kelly (2293879)
Lee Worden (816205)
S. Rae Wannier (6433208)
Nicole A. Hoff (5293787)
Patrick Mukadi (5293796)
Cyrus Sinai (5293784)
Sarah Ackley (816206)
Xianyun Chen (301957)
Daozhou Gao (116225)
Bernice Selo (6433211)
Mathais Mossoko (6433214)
Emile Okitolonda-Wemakoy (6433217)
Eugene T. Richardson (561013)
George W. Rutherford (62679)
Thomas M. Lietman (106610)
Jean Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum (735610)
Anne W. Rimoin (131501)
Travis C. Porco (116223)

March 2019

Mean, median and 95% prediction interval of outbreak size, by proportion of vaccine coverage, using ...

Branching process models for surveillance of infectious diseases controlled by mass vaccination

Farrington, C.P.
Kanaan, M.N.
Gay, N.J.

April 2003

Mass vaccination programmes aim to maintain the effective reproduction number R of an infection belo...

Distribution of outbreak sizes by random initial infection seeds.

Luis E. C. Rocha (166213)
Vincent D. Blondel (214067)

March 2013

<p>Fraction of times an epidemic outbreak with size is observed at time . The results correspond t...

Probabilistic scoring for stochastic branching process model, regression models and Gott’s Law.

J. Daniel Kelly (2293879)
Lee Worden (816205)
S. Rae Wannier (6433208)
Nicole A. Hoff (5293787)
Patrick Mukadi (5293796)
Cyrus Sinai (5293784)
Sarah Ackley (816206)
Xianyun Chen (301957)
Daozhou Gao (116225)
Bernice Selo (6433211)
Mathais Mossoko (6433214)
Emile Okitolonda-Wemakoy (6433217)
Eugene T. Richardson (561013)
George W. Rutherford (62679)
Thomas M. Lietman (106610)
Jean Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum (735610)
Anne W. Rimoin (131501)
Travis C. Porco (116223)

March 2019

Date of prediction, vaccine coverage, inclusion of suspected cases and log-likelihood. For the regre...

A Stochastic Model for CD4+ T Cell Proliferation and Dissemination Network in Primary Immune Response.

Boianelli, Alessandro
Pettini, Elena
Prota, Gennaro
Medaglini, Donata
Vicino, Antonio

January 2015

The study of the initial phase of the adaptive immune response after first antigen encounter provide...

Predicted number of reported cholera cases in the targeted population (n = 1.4 million) following implementation of the vaccination program.

Ashraful Islam Khan (236188)
Ann Levin (361456)
Dennis L. Chao (119857)
Denise DeRoeck (5832239)
Dobromir T. Dimitrov (669490)
Jahangir A. M. Khan (632407)
Muhammad Shariful Islam (5832242)
Mohammad Ali (73095)
Md. Taufiqul Islam (5832245)
Abdur Razzaque Sarker (2167912)
John D. Clemens (148728)
Firdausi Qadri (89170)

October 2018

A) The simulated number of reported cases. Different target populations were targeted for vaccinatio...

Printed in Great Britain Branching process models for surveillance of infectious diseases controlled by mass vaccination

C. P. Farrington
M. N. Kanaan
N. J. Gay

February 2015

Mass vaccination programmes aim to maintain the effective reproduction number R of an infection belo...

The expected time to vaccination for four different vaccine series across different demographic groups, according to a fully adjusted accelerated failure time model with a Weibull distribution.

Matthew L. Boulton (563930)
Bradley F. Carlson (4471489)
Abram L. Wagner (563927)
Julia M. Porth (4060477)
Berhanu Gebremeskel (6377099)
Yemesrach Abeje (4285645)

February 2019

The expected time to vaccination for four different vaccine series across different demographic grou...

Duration of a minor epidemic

William Tritch
Linda J.S. Allen

January 2018

Disease outbreaks in stochastic SIR epidemic models are characterized as either minor or major. When...

A Stochastic Model for CD4+ T Cell Proliferation and Dissemination Network in Primary Immune Response

Alessandro Boianelli (131403)
Elena Pettini (352296)
Gennaro Prota (352299)
Donata Medaglini (271513)
Antonio Vicino (131414)

August 2015

<div><p>The study of the initial phase of the adaptive immune response after first antigen encounter...

Stochastic methodology for the study of an epidemic decay phase, based on a branching model

Penisson, Sophie
Jacob, Christine

January 2012

International audienceWe present a stochastic methodology to study the decay phase of an epidemic. I...

Ensemble prediction of expected outbreak duration with the IHW method.

Tom Lindström (106326)
Michael Tildesley (132219)
Colleen Webb (732661)

April 2015

<p>Panels A and C show ensemble estimates of mean duration for the implemented control action of the...

Projections of Ebola outbreak size and duration with and without vaccine use in Équateur, Democratic Republic of Congo, as of May 27, 2018

J. Daniel Kelly (2293879)
Lee Worden (816205)
S. Rae Wannier (6433208)
Nicole A. Hoff (5293787)
Patrick Mukadi (5293796)
Cyrus Sinai (5293784)
Sarah Ackley (816206)
Xianyun Chen (301957)
Daozhou Gao (116225)
Bernice Selo (6433211)
Mathais Mossoko (6433214)
Emile Okitolonda-Wemakoy (6433217)
Eugene T. Richardson (561013)
George W. Rutherford (62679)
Thomas M. Lietman (106610)
Jean Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum (735610)
Anne W. Rimoin (131501)
Travis C. Porco (116223)

March 2019

As of May 27, 2018, 6 suspected, 13 probable and 35 confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) had...

Projections of Ebola outbreak size and duration with and without vaccine use in Équateur, Democratic Republic of Congo, as of May 27, 2018.

Kelly, J Daniel
Worden, Lee
Wannier, S Rae
Hoff, Nicole A
Mukadi, Patrick
Sinai, Cyrus
Ackley, Sarah
Chen, Xianyun
Gao, Daozhou
Selo, Bernice
Mossoko, Mathais
Okitolonda-Wemakoy, Emile
Richardson, Eugene T
Rutherford, George W
Lietman, Thomas M
Muyembe-Tamfum, Jean Jacques
Rimoin, Anne W
Porco, Travis C

January 2019

As of May 27, 2018, 6 suspected, 13 probable and 35 confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) had...

The probabilities of an outbreak occurring under the eight different scenarios considered and the cases prevented per vaccine distributed.

Phillip Schumm (363351)
Walter Schumm (363350)
Caterina Scoglio (319581)

March 2013

<p>An outbreak is defined as the occurrence of at least one secondary infection from the initial inf...

Distribution of projected outbreak duration from stochastic branching process model.

Abstract

Extracted data

Distribution of projected outbreak duration from stochastic branching process model.

Abstract

Extracted data

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