The ellipses indicate the area containing the deviations 95% of the time. The area of the ellipse is largest in the vicinity of the threshold immunization level, which is consistent with the common result that critical slowing down leads to increases in variance. Parameters are as in Fig 2.</p
<p>For each value of R<sub>0</sub> (number of secondary infections which can be understood as the fi...
<p>A resilient disease curve is shown in black and four bifurcating disease curves are shown in red....
<p>Left: FM% (higher deciles on the right); right: ECW/ICW (higher deciles on the bottom). Ellipses ...
The variance of S and the generalized variance peak near the threshold, whereas the variance of I al...
Critical slowing down does not lead to an increase in the variance of this variable as the immunizat...
<p>Blue circles are the MDE values, with the blue (solid) ellipses representing the 95% confidence e...
<p>Bivariate analysis: A: ICER values at varying vaccine efficacy (%) and duration of vaccine-induce...
Disease prevalence (I/N) is represented by the horizontal position of a ball sliding through viscous...
The response to different vaccines or viruses is shown in different colors. For each vaccine or viru...
<p>The values for and are given by steady state values for and for , and the transition from to...
<p>The evolution of the number of infected (thin line) and (thick line) vaccinated individuals is de...
Dynamics of the deterministic component of the SIR model (Eq 1) as a function of vaccine uptake. The...
<p>Sixty parameterizations of strain-transcending immunity (strength and duration) were simulated. W...
All panels: We plot the posterior distributions for the estimated incubation periods, stratified by ...
<p>a) Fraction of population infected, i.e. outbreak size (red) and duration (blue) as a function of...
<p>For each value of R<sub>0</sub> (number of secondary infections which can be understood as the fi...
<p>A resilient disease curve is shown in black and four bifurcating disease curves are shown in red....
<p>Left: FM% (higher deciles on the right); right: ECW/ICW (higher deciles on the bottom). Ellipses ...
The variance of S and the generalized variance peak near the threshold, whereas the variance of I al...
Critical slowing down does not lead to an increase in the variance of this variable as the immunizat...
<p>Blue circles are the MDE values, with the blue (solid) ellipses representing the 95% confidence e...
<p>Bivariate analysis: A: ICER values at varying vaccine efficacy (%) and duration of vaccine-induce...
Disease prevalence (I/N) is represented by the horizontal position of a ball sliding through viscous...
The response to different vaccines or viruses is shown in different colors. For each vaccine or viru...
<p>The values for and are given by steady state values for and for , and the transition from to...
<p>The evolution of the number of infected (thin line) and (thick line) vaccinated individuals is de...
Dynamics of the deterministic component of the SIR model (Eq 1) as a function of vaccine uptake. The...
<p>Sixty parameterizations of strain-transcending immunity (strength and duration) were simulated. W...
All panels: We plot the posterior distributions for the estimated incubation periods, stratified by ...
<p>a) Fraction of population infected, i.e. outbreak size (red) and duration (blue) as a function of...
<p>For each value of R<sub>0</sub> (number of secondary infections which can be understood as the fi...
<p>A resilient disease curve is shown in black and four bifurcating disease curves are shown in red....
<p>Left: FM% (higher deciles on the right); right: ECW/ICW (higher deciles on the bottom). Ellipses ...