Hyperincursion and the globalization of a knowledge-based economy

This is an invited paper for the Seventh International Conference on Computing Anticipatory Systems CASYSâ 05, Liège, Belgium. August 8-13, 2005. It is forthcoming in American Institute of Physics, Proceedings. In biological systems, the capacity of anticipationâ that is, entertaining a model of the system within the systemâ can be considered as naturally given. Human languages enable psychological systems to construct and exchange mental models of themselves and their environments reflexively, that is, provide meaning to the events. At the level of the social system expectations can further be codified. When these codifications are functionally differentiatedâ like between market mechanisms and scientific research programsâ the potential asynchronicity in the update among the subsystems provides room for a second anticipatory mechanism at the level of the transversal information exchange among differently codified meaning-processing subsystems. Interactions between the two different anticipatory mechanisms (the transversal one and the one along the time axis in each subsystem) may lead to co-evolutions and stabilization of expectations along trajectories. The wider horizon of knowledgeable expectations can be expected to meta-stabilize and also globalize a previously stabilized configuration of expectations against the axis of time. This recursive incursion on the incursive dynamics of expectations can be modeled using hyper-incursion. The knowledge-based subdynamic at the global level which thus emerges, enables historical agents to inform the reconstruction of previous states and to co-construct future states of the social system, for example, in a techno-economic co-evolution