Patterns of Electoral Success of Regionalist Parties in United Kingdom, Italy and Croatia

Ovaj rad, odnosno komparativno istraživanje s malim brojem slučajeva, bavi se regionalističkim strankama u Ujedinjenom Kraljevstvu, Italiji i Hrvatskoj. Šest izabranih stranaka su Škotska nacionalna stranka, Velška stranka, Sjeverna liga, Narodna stranka Južnog Tirola, Istarski demokratski sabor i Hrvatski demokratski savez Slavonije i Baranje. Polazi se od toga da su regionalističke stranke sve one stranke koje se za javne položaje natječu na samo jednom, jasno određenom podnacionalnom teritoriju. Rad se bavi izbornim uspjesima navedenih regionalističkih stranaka na regionalnim i parlamentarnim izborima i odnosom među tim izborima, odnosno istražuje postoji li jasan obrazac po kojemu bismo mogli točno prognozirati buduće izborne rezultate ovih stranaka. Tako je teza ovoga rada da je temeljem povećanja postotka osvojenih glasova između dva ciklusa regionalnih izbora, moguće prognozirati da će se postotak osvojenih glasova određene stranke povećati i parlamentarnim izborima u odnosu na one prethodne parlamentarne izbore. Teza nije potvrđena.This paperwork, or comparative analysis with small-N cases, scrutinizes the regionalist parties in the United Kingdom, Italy and Croatia. Six parties taken for this research are the Scottish National Party, the Plaid Cymru, the Northern League, the South Tyrolean People's Party, the Istrian Democratic Assembly and the Croatian Democratic Alliance of Slavonia and Baranja. The paper assumes that regionalist parties are those political parties that compete for public positions in only one, precisely defined subnational territory. The paperwork deals with the electoral success of regionalist parties in the regional and parliamentary elections as well as the relationship between these elections. Therefore, it examines if there is a clear pattern that would allow us to accurately predict the election results of these parties in a future. Thus, the thesis of this paperwork is that according to an increase of the percentage of received votes between the two cycles of the regional elections it is possible to predict that the percentage of received votes of a particular party will increase in a parliamentary election in comparison to the previous ones. The thesis is not verified