Using Bluetooth to estimate traffic metrics for traffic management applications

PhD Thesis‘Bluetooth’ is a technology that can be integrated into Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) to facilitate smarter and enhanced traffic monitoring and management to reduce congestion. The current research focus on Bluetooth is principally on journey time management. However, the applicability and viability of Bluetooth potential in problematic urban areas remains unknown. Besides the generic problem of unavailability of processing algorithms, there is gap in knowledge regarding the variability and errors in Bluetooth-derived metrics. These unknown errors usually cause uncertainty about the conclusions drawn from the data. Therefore, a novel Bluetooth-based vehicle detection and Traffic Flow Origin-destination Speed and Travel-time (TRAFOST) model was developed to estimate and analyse key traffic metrics. This research utilised Bluetooth data and other independently measured traffic data collected principally from three study sites in Greater Manchester, UK. The Bluetooth sensors at these locations generated vehicle detection rates (7-16%) that varied temporally and spatially, based on the comparison with flows from ATC (Automatic Traffic Counters) and SCOOT (Split Cycle Offset Optimisation Technique) detectors. Performance evaluation of the estimation showed temporal consistency and accuracy at a high level of confidence (i.e. 95%) based on criteria such as Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) - (0.031 – 0.147), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) - (0.041 – 0.195), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) - (0.822 – 4.917) and Kullback-Leibler divergence (KL-D) (0.004 – 0.044). This outcome provides evidence of reliability in the results as well as justification for further investigation of Bluetooth applications in ITS. However, the resulting accuracy depends significantly on sample size, network characteristics, and traffic flow regimes. The Bluetooth approach has enabled a deeper understanding of traffic flow regimes and spatio-temporal variations within the Greater Manchester Networks than is possible using conventional traffic data such as from SCOOT. Therefore, the application of Bluetooth technology in ITS to enhance traffic management to reduce congestion is a viable proposition and is recommended.Petroleum Technology Development Fund (PTDF) – for the award of a PhD Scholarship for 4 years; The University of Lagos – for the study leave with pay; Surveyors Council of Nigeria (SURCON) – for the additional support