Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein
- Asseng, S.
- Martre, P.
- Maiorano, A.
- Rotter, R. P.
- O'Leary, G. J.
- Fitzgerald, G. J.
- Girousse, C.
- Motzo, R.
- Giunta, F.
- Babar, M. A.
- Reynolds, M. P.
- Kheir, A. M. S.
- Thorburn, P. J.
- Ruane, A. C.
- Waha, K
- Aggarwal, P. K.
- Ahmed, M.
- Balkovic, J.
- Basso, B.
- Biernath, C.
- Bindi, M.
- Cammarano, D.
- Challinor, A. J.
- De Sanctis, D.
- Dumont, B.
- Eyshi Rezaei, E.
- Fereres, E.
- Ferrise, R.
- Garcia-Vila, M.
- Gayler, S.
- Gao, Y.
- Horan, H.
- Hoggenboom, G.
- Izaurralde, R. C.
- Jabloun, M.
- Jones, C.
- Kassie, B. T.
- Kersebaum, K-C.
- Klein, C.
- Koehler, A-K.
- Liu, B.
- Minoli, S.
- San Martin, M. M.
- Muller, C.
- Kumar, S. N.
- Nendel, C.
- Olesen, J. E.
- Palosuo, T.
- Porter, J.
- Priesack, E.
- Ripoche, D.
- Semenov, M. A.
- Stöckle, C.
- Stratonovitch, P.
- Streck, T.
- Supit, I.
- Tao, F.
- Van der Velde, M.
- Wallach, D.
- Wang, E.
- Webber, H.
- Wolf, J.
- Xiao, L.
- Zhang, Z.
- Zhao, Z.
- Zhu, Y.
- Ewert, F.
DOIAbstract
Wheat grain protein concentration is an important determinant of wheat quality for human nutrition that is often overlooked in efforts to improve crop production. We tested and applied a 32‐multi‐model ensemble to simulate global wheat yield and quality in a changing climate. Potential benefits of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration by 2050 on global wheat grain and protein yield are likely to be negated by impacts from rising temperature and changes in rainfall, but with considerable disparities between regions. Grain and protein yields are expected to be lower and more variable in most low‐rainfall regions, with nitrogen availability limiting growth stimulus from elevated CO2. Introducing genotypes adapted to warmer temperatures (and a...
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