We perform two statistical studies of monthly mean sunspots one of them by considering the Daubechies 4-wavelet analysis and the other one by using the multiple linear regression method. We found that the Hurst’s parameters of the fractional Brownian motion is equal to = 0.98 manifesting the long memory of the data set. The proposed second method is used for solar cycles 16 and 23 and the results are remarkably good in comparison to the predictions made by solar dynamo and precursor methods. A weak correlation is found among the maximum amplitude of a cycle and the other ones related to the prior seven and twelve cycles. An early prediction of the maximum smoothed international sunspot number for cycles 24 and 25 are 128 and 161, respective...
A&A, 370, L31). In this paper we present the results of a rigorous statistical analysis of all a...
We have recently suggested that one low sunspot cycle was possibly lost in 1790s (Usoskin et al. 20...
The solar cycle length for cycles 23 to 29 are forecasted. Two methods are analysed. In the first on...
Prediction of solar activity strength for solar cycles 23 and 24 is performed on the basis of extra...
Long-term solar activity has been studied with a set of wavelet methods. The following indicators o...
We investigate the nature of monthly sunspot numbers and solar flux F10.7 by employing the linear an...
Periodicity analysis indicates that sunspot number is better to be used as the base of solar activit...
A statistical study of formulas for predicting the sunspot number several years in advance is report...
In order to improve the forecasts of the impact of solar activity on the terrestrial environment on...
We identify large sunspot nestlets (SN) mostly containing recurrent sunspot groups and investigate t...
Sunspot numbers in the current solar cycle 23 were estimated by using a statistical model with the a...
We analyze the monthly sunspot number (SSN) data from January 1749 to June 2013. We use the Average ...
Reconstructed sunspot data are available that extend solar activity back to 11 360 years before the ...
Parameters associated with solar minimum have been studied to relate them to solar activity at solar...
In this paper, we investigate the prospect of using previously occurring sunspot cycle signatures to...
A&A, 370, L31). In this paper we present the results of a rigorous statistical analysis of all a...
We have recently suggested that one low sunspot cycle was possibly lost in 1790s (Usoskin et al. 20...
The solar cycle length for cycles 23 to 29 are forecasted. Two methods are analysed. In the first on...
Prediction of solar activity strength for solar cycles 23 and 24 is performed on the basis of extra...
Long-term solar activity has been studied with a set of wavelet methods. The following indicators o...
We investigate the nature of monthly sunspot numbers and solar flux F10.7 by employing the linear an...
Periodicity analysis indicates that sunspot number is better to be used as the base of solar activit...
A statistical study of formulas for predicting the sunspot number several years in advance is report...
In order to improve the forecasts of the impact of solar activity on the terrestrial environment on...
We identify large sunspot nestlets (SN) mostly containing recurrent sunspot groups and investigate t...
Sunspot numbers in the current solar cycle 23 were estimated by using a statistical model with the a...
We analyze the monthly sunspot number (SSN) data from January 1749 to June 2013. We use the Average ...
Reconstructed sunspot data are available that extend solar activity back to 11 360 years before the ...
Parameters associated with solar minimum have been studied to relate them to solar activity at solar...
In this paper, we investigate the prospect of using previously occurring sunspot cycle signatures to...
A&A, 370, L31). In this paper we present the results of a rigorous statistical analysis of all a...
We have recently suggested that one low sunspot cycle was possibly lost in 1790s (Usoskin et al. 20...
The solar cycle length for cycles 23 to 29 are forecasted. Two methods are analysed. In the first on...