Inconsistent response of Arctic permafrost peatland carbon accumulation to warm climate phases

This is the final version. Available from American Geophysical Union (AGU) / Wiley via the DOI in this record.Northern peatlands have accumulated large carbon (C) stocks since the last deglaciation and during past millennia they have acted as important atmospheric C sinks. However, it is still poorly understood how northern peatlands in general and Arctic permafrost peatlands in particular will respond to future climate change. In this study, we present C accumulation reconstructions derived from 14 peat cores from four permafrost peatlands in northeast European Russia and Finnish Lapland. The main focus is on warm climate phases. We used regression analyses to test the importance of different environmental variables such as summer temperature, hydrology and vegetation as drivers for non‐autogenic C accumulation. We used modeling approaches to simulate potential decomposition patterns. The data show that our study sites have been persistent mid‐ to late‐Holocene C sinks with an average accumulation rate of 10.80 – 32.40 g C m‐2 y‐1. The warmer climate phase during the Holocene Thermal Maximum stimulated faster apparent C accumulation rates (ACARs) while the Medieval Climate Anomaly did not. Moreover, during the Little Ice Age, ACARs were controlled more by other factors than by cold climate per se. Although we could not identify any significant environmental factor that drove C accumulation, our data show that recent warming has increased C accumulation in some permafrost peatland sites. However, the synchronous slight decrease of C accumulation in other sites may be an alternative response of these peatlands to warming in the future. This would lead to a decrease in the C sequestration ability of permafrost peatlands overall.HZ acknowledges the financial support of the China Scholarship Council for her PhD study (grant no. 201404910499) at the University of Helsinki. The research presented in this article was financed by the Academy of Finland and University of Helsinki. The work done by DJC and AGS was funded by the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC standard grant number NE/I012915/1) and supported by NERC Radiocarbon Allocation 1681.1012