Absence of Myocardial Fibrosis Predicts Favorable Long-Term Survival in New-Onset Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Myocardial fibrosis, identified by late gadolinium enhancement cardiovascular magnetic resonance, predicts outcomes in chronic heart failure (HF). Its prognostic significance in new-onset HF and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is unclear. We investigated whether the pattern and extent of fibrosis predict survival in new-onset HF and reduced LVEF of initially uncertain pathogenesis. METHODS AND RESULTS: Of 120 consecutive patients with new-onset (<6 months) HF and reduced LVEF, 31 (26%) had infarct fibrosis, 25 (21%) had midwall fibrosis, and 64 (53%) had no fibrosis. During median follow-up of 8.9 years, 33 (28%) patients died. Patients with infarct fibrosis (hazard ratios [HR], 3.32; 95% CI, 1.46-7.58; P=0.004) or midwall fibrosis (HR, 2.99; 95% CI, 1.24-7.19; P=0.014) were more likely to die compared with those without fibrosis. On multivariable analysis, the pattern and extent of fibrosis were both associated with all-cause mortality (by fibrosis pattern: infarct: HR, 2.60; 95% CI, 1.08-6.27; P=0.033; midwall: HR, 2.64; 95% CI, 1.08-6.47; P=0.034; by fibrosis extent per 1%: HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.03-1.12; P<0.001). Fibrosis pattern also predicted composites of cardiovascular mortality or aborted sudden cardiac death (infarct: HR, 3.45; 95% CI, 1.20-9.90; P=0.022; midwall: HR, 6.59; 95% CI, 2.26-19.22; P