Predicting Mortality among Hospitalized Children with Respiratory Illness in Western Kenya, 2009–2012
- Emukule Gideon O.
- McMorrow Meredith
- Ulloa Chulie
- Khagayi Sammy
- Njuguna Henry N.
- Burton Deron
- Montgomery Joel M.
- Muthoka Philip
- Katz Mark A.
- Breiman Robert F.
- Mott Joshua A.
DOIAbstract
Pediatric respiratory disease is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in the developing world. We evaluated a modified respiratory index of severity in children (mRISC) scoring system as a standard tool to identify children at greater risk of death from respiratory illness in Kenya.We analyzed data from children <5 years old who were hospitalized with respiratory illness at Siaya District Hospital from 2009–2012. We used a multivariable logistic regression model to identify patient characteristics predictive for in-hospital mortality. Model discrimination was evaluated using the concordance statistic. Using bootstrap samples, we re-estimated the coefficients and the optimism of the model. The mRISC score for each child was developed by ...
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