Results of simulations.

<p>We compare data (in black) with simulation (in red) for a) the trajectory for full year of data and first five years of the simulation, b) mean prevalence as a function of household size, c) mean prevalence as a function of age group, d) the index of dispersion <i>θ</i> for each household, with smaller values indicating a greater deviation from the binomial distribution (arrows connecting data to simulation added for clarity). The model includes age-dependent susceptibility, specific infection classes for age both within and between households and intrahousehold reinfection. Households match those at the beginning of the BIG-LoVE study. Coefficients of the logistic regression model are Intercept = -0.632, Week = -0.00943, Age group = -0.798, Household HRV frequency in age group 1 = 2.482, Household HRV frequency in age group 2 = 1.573, Population HRV number in age group 2 = 0.0495.