A prospective natural history study of coronary atherosclerosis using fractional flow reserve

Background In patients with coronary artery disease, clinical outcome depends on the extent of reversible myocardial ischemia. Whether the outcome also depends on the severity of the stenosis as determined by fractional flow reserve (FFR) remains unknown. Objectives This study sought to investigate the relationship between FFR values and vessel-related clinical outcome. Methods We prospectively studied major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) at 2 years in 607 patients in whom all stenoses were assessed by FFR and who were treated with medical therapy alone. The relationship between FFR and 2-year MACE was assessed as a continuous function. Logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate the average decrease in the risk of MACE per 0.05-U increase in FFR. Results MACE occurred in 272 (26.5%) of 1,029 lesions. Target lesions with diameter stenosis ≥70% were more often present in the MACE group (p < 0.01). Median FFR was significantly lower in the MACE group versus the non-MACE group (0.68 [interquartile range: 0.54 to 0.77] vs. 0.80 [interquartile range: 0.70 to 0.88]; p < 0.01). The cumulative incidence of MACE significantly increased with increasing FFR quartiles. An average decrease in MACE per 0.05-unit increase in FFR was statistically significant even after adjustment for all clinical and angiographic features (odds ratio: 0.81; 95% confidence interval: 0.76 to 0.86]). The strongest increase in MACE occurred for FFR values between 0.80 and 0.60. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, FFR was significantly associated with MACE up to 2 years (hazard ratio: 0.87; 95% confidence interval: 0.83 to 0.91]). Conclusions In patients with stable coronary disease, stenosis severity as assessed by FFR is a major and independent predictor of lesion-related outcome. (FAME II - Fractional Flow Reserve [FFR] Guided Percutaneous Coronary Intervention [PCI] Plus Optimal Medical Treatment [OMT] Verses OMT; NCT01132495