An experimental extreme drought reduces the likelihood of species to coexist despite increasing intransitivity in competitive networks

12 páginas.-- 3 figuras.-- 1 tabla.-- 58 referencias.-- Special Feature: Intransitive competition and species coexistence.-- Data available from the Dryad Digital Repository: https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.5d1s9 (Matías, Godoy, Gómez-Aparicio, & Pérez-Ramos, 2018).El artículo esta en libre acceso en la revista.-- free access article in this reviewVery little is known about how variation in environmental conditions alters the strength and the structure of competitive networks and what are the consequences of this for species coexistence. We performed a competition experiment with 10 annual plant species to parameterise a population model describing species’ dynamics according to their vital rates and pairwise competitive coefficients. Seeds from all species were sown under two different climatic scenarios: (1) right before the first major storm of the growing season and (2) after an imposed fall drought of 2 months simulating an extreme climatic event of intense aridity. Species’ demography and competitive responses were used to estimate pairwise stabilising niche differences and average fitness differences. In addition, we used tools from network theory to characterise the structure of multispecies competition from the determinants of species coexistence. Specifically, we evaluated changes in competitive dominance between species pairs, and the prevalence of intransitive competitive relationships for 120 triplets between these two climatic events. The experimental extreme event significantly reduced fitness differences between species pairs. Such an equalising mechanism promotes coexistence. However, niche differences were also reduced in such a way that the number of species pairs whose niche differences overcame their fitness differences was reduced from six to two. Contrary to our expectations, the extreme event did not increase the hierarchy of competitive dominance. Instead, and depending on the technique used, the prevalence of intransitivity remained marginally similar (17% to 22%) or significantly increased from 19.4% to 29.8%. This pattern was likely a consequence of the significant changes in competitive dominance between species pairs (26 changes out of 45; 58%). Although fitness differences were equalised and intransitive competition promoted, our model predicted a lower likelihood of coexistence under the extreme event for both species pairs and triplets, mainly because competitive interactions did not promote enough niche differences to balance the observed fitness asymmetries in our competitive networks. Synthesis. We empirically proved that an extreme climate results in communities with reduced niche and fitness differences in which species are less likely to coexist despite the increasing prevalence of intransitive competition.Was funded by a Juan de la Cierva grant (FPDI-2013-15867). O.G. acknowledges postdoctoral financial support provided by the Spanish Ministry for Education and Science (Juan de la Cierva, JCI-2012-12061), and by the European Union Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 661118-BioFUNC. Funding support to conduct the experiment was provided by the Spanish Ecological Terrestrial Society (AEET, Jóvenes Investigadores grant 2014/2). L.G.-A. acknowledges support from the MICINN project INTERCAPA (CGL-2014-56739-R) and European FEDER Funds. I.M.P.-R thanks the funding provided by the Ramón & Cajal Research Programme (RYC-2013-13937) and the Spanish MINECO project DECAFUN (CGL2015-70123-R).Peer reviewe