Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017
- Tsuzuki, Shinya
- Lee, Hyojung
- Miura, Fuminari
- Chan, Yat Hin
- Jung, Sung-mok
- Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R
- Nishiura, Hiroshi
Publication date
November 2017
DOI Publisher
European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC) ISSN
1560-7917 Language
English Citation count (estimate)
5Abstract
Transmission potential and severity of pneumonic plague in Madagascar were assessed. Accounting for reporting delay, the reproduction number was estimated at 1.73. The case fatality risk was estimated as 5.5%. Expected numbers of exported cases from Madagascar were estimated across the world and all estimates were below 1 person from August to October, 2017
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