Comparison of simulated and estimated dispersal kernels.

<p>From left to right: kernels with the minimum, lower quartile, median, upper quartile and maximum Kullback-Leibler (KL) distances (posterior mean), as estimated (red) under the most exhaustive scheme (Θ₄), based on simulated epidemics with short-, medium- and long-range kernels (from top to bottom; black). Kernels are represented by their marginal cumulative distribution function <i>F</i>^1<i>D</i> (with distance from the source represented on the log₁₀ scale). The mean KL distance is indicated for each estimation.