Exploring the effect of marked normal structure volume on normal tissue complication probability

Radiation therapy dosimetry software now frequently incorporates biological predictions of the probability of normal tissue complications. This study investigates whether the length of normal structure outlined affects a normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) for that structure. It also researches the effect of any change in the dose parameter used to produce a 50% probability of a complication (the TD50) on the calculated NTCP, as this is related to the clinical observations. An NTCP was calculated for rectum and bladder on a sample of prostate cases receiving external beam radiation therapy. The length of the organs at risk was varied and the NTCP recalculated for each different length using the same treatment plan. Large variations of up to 80% in NTCP for different delineated lengths of organ for a given TD50 were observed. Changing the TD50 dose altered the calculated NTCP and the relative size of the variation in the values. This parameter will need further investigation; a standardized delineated length of 2 cm beyond the beam edge for normal structures is recommended. Interpatient and interinstitution plan comparison using dose volume histograms and/or normal tissue complication probabilities will be compromised until such standardization occurs