Supplemental Figure 6

Parameter estimates for (a) λ0, (b) μ0, (c) αμ for trees simulated with a positive exponential dependency of μ on temperature by fitting the temperature- dependent model. Parameter estimates are shown for trees with different species richness. Simulated parameters are marked by dashed red lines. (c, inset) A magnified plot of αμ estimates. (d) Akaike weights averaged over all trees for each species richness cohort for models fitted with temperature-dependent models (grey), time-dependent models (light blue), and constant-rate models (black)