No-treatment counterfactual epidemic trends.
- Jeffrey W. Eaton (316312)
- Leigh F. Johnson (138514)
- Joshua A. Salomon (118304)
- Till Bärnighausen (36281)
- Eran Bendavid (134546)
- Anna Bershteyn (316356)
- David E. Bloom (316357)
- Valentina Cambiano (146513)
- Christophe Fraser (7754)
- Jan A. C. Hontelez (213029)
- Salal Humair (316358)
- Daniel J. Klein (316359)
- Elisa F. Long (195953)
- Andrew N. Phillips (146556)
- Carel Pretorius (238011)
- John Stover (26888)
- Edward A. Wenger (316363)
- Brian G. Williams (148948)
- Timothy B. Hallett (89580)
Publication date
February 2013
DOIAbstract
<p>Male (left) and female (right) HIV prevalence (top) and incidence (bottom) amongst 15- to 49-y-olds for counterfactual HIV epidemics with no ART. The STDSIM model is calibrated to a more severe epidemic in the Hlabisa subdistrict of KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa. The CD4 HIV/ART and Granich models do not stratify by sex, and the same prevalence and incidence curves are plotted for both sexes for these models. PYs, person-years.</p
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