Evaluation of limited sampling strategies for mycophenolic acid after mycophenolate mofetil intake in adult kidney transplant recipients

Multiple limited sampling strategies (LSSs) have been proposed for estimation of mycophenolic acid (MPA) area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 12 hours postdose (AUC(0-12)) after mycophenolate mofetil intake. The aim of this study was to provide summary information on all published LSSs for MPA and to evaluate their predictive performance in an independent population of kidney transplant recipients. Seventy-eight LSSs for MPA were identified. Sixty-nine full AUC profiles were collected from 45 subjects (25 cotreated with cyclosporine and 20 with tacrolimus). Predicted MPA AUC(0-12), calculated by applying the relevant concentration measurements within the LSS equations, was compared with full AUC calculated by using all concentration measurements in the linear trapezoidal rule. Four error indices (median prediction error, median percentage prediction error [MPPE], root median squared prediction error, and median absolute percentage prediction error [MAPE]) were used to evaluate bias and imprecision. Twelve of the 25 LSSs for cyclosporine-cotreated recipients and one of the 53 LSSs for tacrolimus-cotreated recipients displayed acceptable (less than 15%) bias and imprecision. In the cyclosporine group, two equations demonstrated the highest predictive power, one that used four time points in the first 6 hours postdose (r(2) = 0.84, MPPE 1.6%, MAPE 7.8%) and one that used four time points in the first 4 hours postdose (r(2) = 0.76, MPPE -0.8%, MAPE 10.2%). In the tacrolimus group, an equation that used two time points in the first 4 hours postdose was superior (r(2) = 0.80, MPPE -3.0%, MAPE 13.6%). Application of the LSSs most appropriate for cyclosporine-cotreated patients to the tacrolimus-cotreated group resulted in clinically unacceptable bias and imprecision and vice versa. High variability in performance of LSSs highlights the importance of validating any LSS before applying it to an alternative population. Attention to comedication use is of particular relevance when choosing a LSS