Analysis of impact of simulated treatment on morbidity data.

<p>The plots were constructed by simulating effective treatments applied to malaria therapy data (see <a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0057297#s2" target="_blank">Methods</a>) with fourteen-day morbidity reference periods, a: daily probability that a patient receives treatment that day, given that s/he has a fever that day. The simulations take into account under-reporting, as estimated from the Asembo data, and assume an equal probability of commencing treatment on each day of illness. The arrow corresponds to the estimate made from the Zambian MIS data. b: mean days with illness per report of fever; continuous line: days with fever including fever that was not reported (adjusting for under-reporting estimated from the Asembo data); dashed line: days with fever during intervals for which fever was reported (ignoring recall bias).