<div><p>The future bloom and risk of blossom frosts for <i>Malus domestica</i> were projected using regional climate realizations and phenological ( = impact) models. As climate impact projections are susceptible to uncertainties of climate and impact models and model concatenation, the significant horizon of the climate impact signal was analyzed by applying 7 impact models, including two new developments, on 13 climate realizations of the IPCC emission scenario A1B. Advancement of phenophases and a decrease in blossom frost risk for Lower Saxony (Germany) for early and late ripeners was determined by six out of seven phenological models. Single model/single grid point time series of bloom showed significant trends by 2021–2050 compared to...
<p>Projected with 5 (ECH5-REMO/CLM) and 8 (ENSEMBLES) climate runs and five () and seven () phenolog...
Long-term series of temperature and apple flowering date were set up for seven climate-contrasting l...
The impact of climatic change in 1971–2040 on the potential production areas and risks to nine apple...
The future bloom and risk of blossom frosts for Malus domestica were projected using regional climat...
<p>Potential frost damages (temperatures below –2.2°C occurring within 10 days after blossoming) are...
<div><p>The cultivation of grapevines in the UK and many other cool climate regions is expected to b...
Budburst is regulated by temperature conditions, and a warming climate is associated with earlier bu...
The cultivation of grapevines in the UK and many other cool climate regions is expected to benefit f...
<p>Temperature thresholds °C and °C; inter-quartile range across 13 climate runs; phenological model...
Global warming is expected to accelerate the development of plants and insects leading to earlier oc...
Plant phenology is well known to be affected by meteorology. Observed changes in the occurrence of p...
International audienceMany phenology models have been developed to explain historical trends in plan...
<p>Drawn from phenological impact models 2–7 and 13 climate projections. Mean uncertainty of phenoph...
Late frost damage represents a significant hazard to grape production in cool climate viticulture re...
Spring frosts, as experienced in Europe in April 2016 and 2017, pose a considerable risk to agricult...
<p>Projected with 5 (ECH5-REMO/CLM) and 8 (ENSEMBLES) climate runs and five () and seven () phenolog...
Long-term series of temperature and apple flowering date were set up for seven climate-contrasting l...
The impact of climatic change in 1971–2040 on the potential production areas and risks to nine apple...
The future bloom and risk of blossom frosts for Malus domestica were projected using regional climat...
<p>Potential frost damages (temperatures below –2.2°C occurring within 10 days after blossoming) are...
<div><p>The cultivation of grapevines in the UK and many other cool climate regions is expected to b...
Budburst is regulated by temperature conditions, and a warming climate is associated with earlier bu...
The cultivation of grapevines in the UK and many other cool climate regions is expected to benefit f...
<p>Temperature thresholds °C and °C; inter-quartile range across 13 climate runs; phenological model...
Global warming is expected to accelerate the development of plants and insects leading to earlier oc...
Plant phenology is well known to be affected by meteorology. Observed changes in the occurrence of p...
International audienceMany phenology models have been developed to explain historical trends in plan...
<p>Drawn from phenological impact models 2–7 and 13 climate projections. Mean uncertainty of phenoph...
Late frost damage represents a significant hazard to grape production in cool climate viticulture re...
Spring frosts, as experienced in Europe in April 2016 and 2017, pose a considerable risk to agricult...
<p>Projected with 5 (ECH5-REMO/CLM) and 8 (ENSEMBLES) climate runs and five () and seven () phenolog...
Long-term series of temperature and apple flowering date were set up for seven climate-contrasting l...
The impact of climatic change in 1971–2040 on the potential production areas and risks to nine apple...