Trajectories for a hypothetical male of 60 years at time 0 of HOMA-%B (A), HOMA-IR (B), Framingham 8-year diabetes risk (C), and Framingham 10-year CVD risk (D) from 18 years before time of diagnosis/last examination.

<p>Solid lines indicate estimated trajectories for each group and dashed lines are 95% confidence limits. Black bars at the bottom indicate the relative data distribution over the follow-up period. Light blue, stable overweight; dark blue, progressive weight gain; red, persistently obese; grey, diabetes-free population.