<p>Potential annual area to burn follows a lognormal distribution (with mean 7.74 and standard deviation 1.43 in mild years fitted from 1975–99 wildfire statistics). The mean of that distribution is used as a scenario parameter with three possible values: (1) <b>High</b>-7.74 (∼6,500 ha/year), (2) <b>Average</b>-9.14 (∼26,000 ha/year), and (3) <b>Low</b>-9.81 (∼52,000 ha/year).</p
<p>Scenarios include random variability in “climate” (i.e., a hypothetical metric linked to annual f...
Global fire-vegetation models are widely used to assess impacts of environmental change on fire regi...
Using statistical models, wildfire risks are described as a function of climatic variables such as t...
<p>Scenarios were defined by combining climate treatments (C0, C1 and C2; defined in the main text) ...
<p>Area suppressed by active fire suppression strategies in mild years (A1) and opportunistic fire s...
<p>The fire severity index ranges from one to five with one being the least and five being the most ...
Given the stochastic nature of fire ignition and spread, a modeling approach is needed to estimate t...
<p>All eight scenarios were also modeled under two climate change scenarios (MIROC and CNRM) and for...
Abstract This simulation research was conducted in order to develop a large-fire risk assessment sys...
<p>Area suppressed by firefighting opportunities derived from: (A) fires in adverse years, (B) fires...
<p>Results are presented for the whole study area (ALL: plots A and E) and for the three bioclimatic...
<p>Series are plotted relative to the series mean, with red (blue) representing above (below) averag...
<p>Scenario abbreviations are provided in <a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/j...
Average annual percent area burned and fire rotation projected by each model under different climate...
Large-scale fire danger assessment has become increasingly relevant in the past few years, and is us...
<p>Scenarios include random variability in “climate” (i.e., a hypothetical metric linked to annual f...
Global fire-vegetation models are widely used to assess impacts of environmental change on fire regi...
Using statistical models, wildfire risks are described as a function of climatic variables such as t...
<p>Scenarios were defined by combining climate treatments (C0, C1 and C2; defined in the main text) ...
<p>Area suppressed by active fire suppression strategies in mild years (A1) and opportunistic fire s...
<p>The fire severity index ranges from one to five with one being the least and five being the most ...
Given the stochastic nature of fire ignition and spread, a modeling approach is needed to estimate t...
<p>All eight scenarios were also modeled under two climate change scenarios (MIROC and CNRM) and for...
Abstract This simulation research was conducted in order to develop a large-fire risk assessment sys...
<p>Area suppressed by firefighting opportunities derived from: (A) fires in adverse years, (B) fires...
<p>Results are presented for the whole study area (ALL: plots A and E) and for the three bioclimatic...
<p>Series are plotted relative to the series mean, with red (blue) representing above (below) averag...
<p>Scenario abbreviations are provided in <a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/j...
Average annual percent area burned and fire rotation projected by each model under different climate...
Large-scale fire danger assessment has become increasingly relevant in the past few years, and is us...
<p>Scenarios include random variability in “climate” (i.e., a hypothetical metric linked to annual f...
Global fire-vegetation models are widely used to assess impacts of environmental change on fire regi...
Using statistical models, wildfire risks are described as a function of climatic variables such as t...