<p>The size of the perturbation effect, , at time starting near the disease free equilibrium for (A) Between and within-groups infection rates and (log scale). (B) Natural mortality rate <i>d</i>. (C) Disease induced mortality rate <i>e</i>. (D) Dispersal rate <i>m</i> (log scale). Default parameters are given in <a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0086563#pone-0086563-t002" target="_blank">Table 2</a>, and one parameter is varied at a time. This is analogous to <a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0086563#pone-0086563-g002" target="_blank">Fig. 2</a> for the non-spatial case. Initial conditions are such that 20% of sites are randomly chosen to start near the endemic equi...
<p>Partial rank correlation coefficients (PRCC) for infection maintenance for 1000 simulations for 1...
International audienceWhen a pathogen is rare in a host population, there is a chance that it will d...
<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Early warning systems for outbreaks of infectious diseases are an importa...
<p>(A) Population numbers, <i>S</i>(<i>t</i>), <i>I</i>(<i>t</i>), and <i>N</i>(<i>t</i>). (B) Propo...
<p>The effect of pink stochastic variation on outbreak dynamics at different environmental variances...
Abstract: A model of infectious diseases has been developed for integration within a larger simulati...
Identifying the key factors underlying the spread of a disease is an essential but challenging prere...
Sensitivity analysis (SA) can aid in identifying influential model parameters and optimizing model s...
In this paper, a stochastic susceptible-infected-removed-susceptible (SIRS) epidemic model in a popu...
The thesis is made up of three chapters, which analyse the disease spreads within the population in...
<p>Parameter estimates for the four census sites, obtained from the model (cf. <a href="http://www....
<p>Sensitivity analysis of model output variables predicated that disease transmission dynamics when...
The spread of an epidemic process is considered in the context of a spatial SIR stochastic model tha...
<p>Plotting dynamics as a function of predator death rate <i>μ</i><sub><i>P</i>,</sub> and disease i...
<p>The results of ongoing population reduction are shown for various levels of disease enhancement <...
<p>Partial rank correlation coefficients (PRCC) for infection maintenance for 1000 simulations for 1...
International audienceWhen a pathogen is rare in a host population, there is a chance that it will d...
<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Early warning systems for outbreaks of infectious diseases are an importa...
<p>(A) Population numbers, <i>S</i>(<i>t</i>), <i>I</i>(<i>t</i>), and <i>N</i>(<i>t</i>). (B) Propo...
<p>The effect of pink stochastic variation on outbreak dynamics at different environmental variances...
Abstract: A model of infectious diseases has been developed for integration within a larger simulati...
Identifying the key factors underlying the spread of a disease is an essential but challenging prere...
Sensitivity analysis (SA) can aid in identifying influential model parameters and optimizing model s...
In this paper, a stochastic susceptible-infected-removed-susceptible (SIRS) epidemic model in a popu...
The thesis is made up of three chapters, which analyse the disease spreads within the population in...
<p>Parameter estimates for the four census sites, obtained from the model (cf. <a href="http://www....
<p>Sensitivity analysis of model output variables predicated that disease transmission dynamics when...
The spread of an epidemic process is considered in the context of a spatial SIR stochastic model tha...
<p>Plotting dynamics as a function of predator death rate <i>μ</i><sub><i>P</i>,</sub> and disease i...
<p>The results of ongoing population reduction are shown for various levels of disease enhancement <...
<p>Partial rank correlation coefficients (PRCC) for infection maintenance for 1000 simulations for 1...
International audienceWhen a pathogen is rare in a host population, there is a chance that it will d...
<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Early warning systems for outbreaks of infectious diseases are an importa...