<p><b>a</b>) Performance of the subjects (percentage of trials in which they chose the fractal stimulus) as a function of the difference between the observed reward rate of the fractal being considered and the reward probability of the square. Pessimistic (red, LOT-R≤mean LOT-R) and optimistic people (blue, LOT-R>mean LOT-R) behave similarly. Errors bars denote standard deviation. <b>b</b>) Correlation between subjects' LOT-R scores and the mean of their prior distribution p(c) that the fractal stimulus will lead to a reward (r = 0.009, p = 0.95).</p
<p>(A) In experiment 2 the rewards’ mean and variance of the bad option (black lines) were kept cons...
We examine the nature of stated subjective probabilities in a complex, evolving context in which par...
<p><b>(A)</b> Mean responses across participants plotted as a function of the MLE of the sample, <i>...
<p><b>a</b>) Cartoon of the task. The CS can either lead to a punishment (indicated by a sad face) o...
In an experiment with more than 500 participants we study how past experience of uncertainty (imperf...
<p>(<b>A</b>) Subjects chose between a pair of fractals at each of two stages, where a choice at the...
We report the evidence of a multi-stage lab experiment on individual decision- making under ambiguit...
<p>In this figure we show that subjects are able to discern the different levels of uncertainty adde...
Preliminary Version Decision-making under uncertainty attracts the research interests of many experi...
<p>Left panel: Mean causal judgments across the four 64-trial blocks, for the two uncertainty condit...
<p>(A) Correlation, <i>ρ</i>(<b>V</b><sub><i>g</i></sub>, <b>V</b><sub><i>f</i></sub>), between regr...
A. The values of the two available rewards are shown with the dotted lines. The average drift rate μ...
<p>A second ordinate showing percentages corresponding to the log odds values was included to aid in...
<p><i>(A)</i> Estimated probability that the next stimulus is A plotted against the Ideal Observer e...
The elicitation of uncertainty is a topic of interest in a range of disciplines. The conversion of e...
<p>(A) In experiment 2 the rewards’ mean and variance of the bad option (black lines) were kept cons...
We examine the nature of stated subjective probabilities in a complex, evolving context in which par...
<p><b>(A)</b> Mean responses across participants plotted as a function of the MLE of the sample, <i>...
<p><b>a</b>) Cartoon of the task. The CS can either lead to a punishment (indicated by a sad face) o...
In an experiment with more than 500 participants we study how past experience of uncertainty (imperf...
<p>(<b>A</b>) Subjects chose between a pair of fractals at each of two stages, where a choice at the...
We report the evidence of a multi-stage lab experiment on individual decision- making under ambiguit...
<p>In this figure we show that subjects are able to discern the different levels of uncertainty adde...
Preliminary Version Decision-making under uncertainty attracts the research interests of many experi...
<p>Left panel: Mean causal judgments across the four 64-trial blocks, for the two uncertainty condit...
<p>(A) Correlation, <i>ρ</i>(<b>V</b><sub><i>g</i></sub>, <b>V</b><sub><i>f</i></sub>), between regr...
A. The values of the two available rewards are shown with the dotted lines. The average drift rate μ...
<p>A second ordinate showing percentages corresponding to the log odds values was included to aid in...
<p><i>(A)</i> Estimated probability that the next stimulus is A plotted against the Ideal Observer e...
The elicitation of uncertainty is a topic of interest in a range of disciplines. The conversion of e...
<p>(A) In experiment 2 the rewards’ mean and variance of the bad option (black lines) were kept cons...
We examine the nature of stated subjective probabilities in a complex, evolving context in which par...
<p><b>(A)</b> Mean responses across participants plotted as a function of the MLE of the sample, <i>...