<div><p>Background</p><p>Mathematical models have played important roles in the understanding of epidemics and in the study of the impacts of various behavioral or medical measures. However, modeling accurately the future spread of an epidemic requires context-specific parameters that are difficult to estimate because of lack of data. Our objective is to propose a methodology to estimate context-specific parameters using Demographic and Health Survey (DHS)-like data that can be used in mathematical modeling of short-term HIV spreading.</p><p>Methods and Findings</p><p>The model splits the population according to sex, age, HIV status, and antiretroviral treatment status. To estimate context-specific parameters, we used individuals’ histories...
<div><p>Understanding HIV transmission dynamics is critical to estimating the potential population-w...
The HIV/AIDS epidemic is one of the world’s leading causes of death, particularly in sub-Saharan Afr...
International audienceObjective UNAIDS and country analysts use a simple infectious disease model, e...
Background Mathematical models have played important roles in the understanding of epidemics and in ...
International audienceBackgroundMathematical models have played important roles in the understanding...
Mathematical models have played important roles in the understanding of epidemics and in the study o...
SummaryBackgroundMathematical models are widely used to simulate the effects of interventions to con...
Background Mathematical models are widely used to simulate the effects of interventions to control H...
Objectives: Improve models for estimating HIV epidemic trends in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Design: M...
This thesis develops novel statistical methodology for estimating the incidence and the prevalence o...
We present a method of estimating HIV incidence rates in epidemic situations from data on age-specif...
We derive a new method to estimate the age specific incidence of an infection with a differential mo...
We derive a new method to estimate the age specific incidence of an infection with a differential mo...
We derive a new method to estimate the age specific incidence of an infection with a differential mo...
We describe the development of the HIV epidemic in Karonga District, Malawi over 22 years using data...
<div><p>Understanding HIV transmission dynamics is critical to estimating the potential population-w...
The HIV/AIDS epidemic is one of the world’s leading causes of death, particularly in sub-Saharan Afr...
International audienceObjective UNAIDS and country analysts use a simple infectious disease model, e...
Background Mathematical models have played important roles in the understanding of epidemics and in ...
International audienceBackgroundMathematical models have played important roles in the understanding...
Mathematical models have played important roles in the understanding of epidemics and in the study o...
SummaryBackgroundMathematical models are widely used to simulate the effects of interventions to con...
Background Mathematical models are widely used to simulate the effects of interventions to control H...
Objectives: Improve models for estimating HIV epidemic trends in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Design: M...
This thesis develops novel statistical methodology for estimating the incidence and the prevalence o...
We present a method of estimating HIV incidence rates in epidemic situations from data on age-specif...
We derive a new method to estimate the age specific incidence of an infection with a differential mo...
We derive a new method to estimate the age specific incidence of an infection with a differential mo...
We derive a new method to estimate the age specific incidence of an infection with a differential mo...
We describe the development of the HIV epidemic in Karonga District, Malawi over 22 years using data...
<div><p>Understanding HIV transmission dynamics is critical to estimating the potential population-w...
The HIV/AIDS epidemic is one of the world’s leading causes of death, particularly in sub-Saharan Afr...
International audienceObjective UNAIDS and country analysts use a simple infectious disease model, e...