Atmospheric pollution’s prediction of khmelnytsky region

У статті досліджено стан екологічної ситуації Хмельницької області, а саме обсяги викидів в атмосферне повітря стаціонарними і пересувними джерелами, а також їх вплив на довкілля та здоров’я людини. Здійснено прогноз екологічної ситуації Хмельницької області на 2016–2018 рр. з врахуванням зменшення обсягів викидів в атмосферне повітря за допомогою трендового аналізу.The main purpose of this article is to study the state of the environmental situation of Khmelnytsky region, such as emissions to the atmosphere by stationary and mobile sources and their impact on the environment and human health. There was calculated forecast emissions into the atmosphere in 2016-2018years by trend analysis. The main source of air pollution in human settlements are transport, the amount of which increases annually, enterprises, which use polymers in the production, burning garbage and fallen leaves. According to the research there is seasonality in concentrations of pollutants in the atmospheric air of Khmelnytsky region. The peak pollution is in July and August months, but in the winter pollution reduces. From May to September average concentrations increases. So the biggest polluter in Khmelnytsky region is transport. In order to detect emissions of harmful substances into the atmosphere and their impact on human health in the future, it is necessary to make a forecast using trend analysis. In the article there was investigated the state of the air in the Khmelnytsky region during the 2010-2015 years. There was built five dependences of air pollution. Polynomial trend was the best and according to it the volume of pollutants in the air of Khmelnytsky region would reduce in 2016-2018 years. In order to protect the atmosphere from emissions we should develop measures for landscaping areas, create penalties for emissions and so on