In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely to win a tournament. The model can also be used to answer other questions like which team had a lucky draw? or what is the probability that two teams meet at some moment in the tournament?. Input to the simulation/probability model are scoring intensities, that are estimated as a weighted average of goals scored. The model has been used in practice to write articles for the popular press, and seems to perform well.
This independent study seeks to construct an in-game win probability model for NCAA Division I footb...
Assessing match importance in professional football (soccer) is beneficial for a number of reasons, ...
Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
Who will win the European Cup in Portugal? Many people have an opinion on this issue, and of course ...
The structure of this thesis is summarised below: 1. In Chapter 2 we will introduce some commonly...
ABSTRACT In this paper we propose a simulation-based method for predicting the 2010 and 2014Football...
This independent study seeks to construct an in-game win probability model for NCAA Division I footb...
Assessing match importance in professional football (soccer) is beneficial for a number of reasons, ...
Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
Who will win the European Cup in Portugal? Many people have an opinion on this issue, and of course ...
The structure of this thesis is summarised below: 1. In Chapter 2 we will introduce some commonly...
ABSTRACT In this paper we propose a simulation-based method for predicting the 2010 and 2014Football...
This independent study seeks to construct an in-game win probability model for NCAA Division I footb...
Assessing match importance in professional football (soccer) is beneficial for a number of reasons, ...
Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution...