Add to ORKGIn this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely to win a tournament. The model can also be used to answer other questions like 'which team had a lucky draw?' or 'what is the probability that two teams meet at some moment in the tournament?'. Input to the model are scoring intensities, that are estimated as a weighted average of goals scored. The model has been used in practice to write articles for the popular press, and seems to perform well. Keywords: Soccer, Poisson models, simulation
Who will win the European Cup in Portugal? Many people have an opinion on this issue, and of course ...
In this paper we discuss an exactly soluble statistical model for soccer. By taking into account ke...
The non-scientific event of a soccer match is analysed on a strictly scientific level. The analysis ...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper a method is suggested for predicting the distribution of scores in international socce...
Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution...
Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution...
This paper investigates through soccer simulation the calculation of the probability for each team w...
Who will win the European Cup in Portugal? Many people have an opinion on this issue, and of course ...
In this paper we discuss an exactly soluble statistical model for soccer. By taking into account ke...
The non-scientific event of a soccer match is analysed on a strictly scientific level. The analysis ...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper we discuss a simulation/probability model that identifies the team that is most likely...
In this paper a method is suggested for predicting the distribution of scores in international socce...
Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution...
Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution...
This paper investigates through soccer simulation the calculation of the probability for each team w...
Who will win the European Cup in Portugal? Many people have an opinion on this issue, and of course ...
In this paper we discuss an exactly soluble statistical model for soccer. By taking into account ke...
The non-scientific event of a soccer match is analysed on a strictly scientific level. The analysis ...