The Doha agenda and agricultural trade reform: The role of economic analysis

This paper was presented at the 26th conference of the IAAE and published both as a journal article in Agricultural Economics (the journal of the International Association of Agricultural Economists - IAAE) and as conference paper in the proceedings which is available as a Print-on-demand book. Journal article cited as: Agricultural Economics, 2007; 37:77–87This article shows that research on international agricultural trade reform can make much greater contributions to understanding than was feasible in earlier trade negotiations. While current models typically estimate gains of less than 1% of GDP, new developments in theory and methodology provide the potential for quantitative analysis to be improved in at least six areas: measurement of protection for goods; incorporation of barriers to foreign trade and investment in services; representation of the counterfactual; disaggregation of products and regions; incorporation of new products; and inclusion of the productivity enhancement associated with trade reform. Copyright 2007 International Association of Agricultural Economists.http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/book.asp?ref=978140518100