In this note we introduce an estimate for the marginal likelihood associated to hidden Markov models (HMMs) using sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approximations of the generalized two-filter smoothing decomposition [3]. This estimate is shown to be unbiased and a central limit theorem (CLT) is established. This latter CLT also allows one to prove a CLT associated to estimates of expectations w.r.t. a marginal of the joint smoothing distribution; these form some of the first theoretical results associated to the SMC approximation of the generalized two-filter smoothing decomposition. The new estimate and its application is investigated from a numerical perspective
Let x = {xn}n∈IN be a hidden process, y = {yn}n∈IN an observed process and r = {rn}n∈IN some auxilia...
Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible time series models in which the distribu-tions of the obser...
Abstract Two-filter smoothing is a principled approach for performing optimal smoothing in non-linea...
In this paper, we consider the filtering and smoothing recursions in nonparametric finite state spac...
We consider a method for approximate inference in hidden Markov models (HMMs). The method circum-ven...
We consider a method for approximate inference in hidden Markov models (HMMs). The method circumvent...
We consider the log-likelihood function of hidden Markov models, its derivatives and expectations of...
This thesis discusses the problem of estimating smoothed expectations of sums of additive functional...
International audienceA prevalent problem in general state space models is the approximation of the ...
As more applications are found, interest in Hidden Markov Models continues to grow. Following commen...
International audienceExact inference for hidden Markov models requires the evaluation of all distri...
International audienceThis paper develops a simple and computationally efficient parametric approach...
This thesis is based on four papers (A-D) treating filtering, smoothing, and maximum likelihood (ML)...
ABSTRACT. – We consider the log-likelihood function of hidden Markov models, its derivatives and exp...
The method introduced by Leroux [Maximum likelihood estimation for hidden Markov models, Stochastic ...
Let x = {xn}n∈IN be a hidden process, y = {yn}n∈IN an observed process and r = {rn}n∈IN some auxilia...
Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible time series models in which the distribu-tions of the obser...
Abstract Two-filter smoothing is a principled approach for performing optimal smoothing in non-linea...
In this paper, we consider the filtering and smoothing recursions in nonparametric finite state spac...
We consider a method for approximate inference in hidden Markov models (HMMs). The method circum-ven...
We consider a method for approximate inference in hidden Markov models (HMMs). The method circumvent...
We consider the log-likelihood function of hidden Markov models, its derivatives and expectations of...
This thesis discusses the problem of estimating smoothed expectations of sums of additive functional...
International audienceA prevalent problem in general state space models is the approximation of the ...
As more applications are found, interest in Hidden Markov Models continues to grow. Following commen...
International audienceExact inference for hidden Markov models requires the evaluation of all distri...
International audienceThis paper develops a simple and computationally efficient parametric approach...
This thesis is based on four papers (A-D) treating filtering, smoothing, and maximum likelihood (ML)...
ABSTRACT. – We consider the log-likelihood function of hidden Markov models, its derivatives and exp...
The method introduced by Leroux [Maximum likelihood estimation for hidden Markov models, Stochastic ...
Let x = {xn}n∈IN be a hidden process, y = {yn}n∈IN an observed process and r = {rn}n∈IN some auxilia...
Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible time series models in which the distribu-tions of the obser...
Abstract Two-filter smoothing is a principled approach for performing optimal smoothing in non-linea...