In a number of recent papers I have been developing the theory of "nomic probability, " which is supposed to be the kind of probability involved in statis-tical laws of nature. One of the main principles of this theory is an acceptance rule explicitly designed to handle the lottery paradox. This paper shows that the rule can also handle the paradox of the preface. The solution proceeds in part by pointing out a surprising connection between the paradox of the preface and the gambler's fallacy
Many epistemologists have responded to the lottery paradox by proposing formal rules according to wh...
In a recent article, Douven and Williamson offer both (i) a rebuttal of various recent suggested suf...
So-called two-envelope, wallet-game, Sleeping Beauty and Newcomb’s paradoxes are resolved through si...
http://dx.doi.org/10.5007/1808-1711.2008v12n2p203The preface paradox is the apparent pragmatic incon...
We reflect on lessons that the lottery and preface paradoxes provide for the logic of uncertain infe...
In this paper I argue that there is a preface paradox for intention. The preface paradox for intenti...
In this paper I argue that there is a preface paradox for intention. The preface paradox for intenti...
The thesis that high probability suffices for rational belief, while initially plausible, is known t...
The lottery and preface paradoxes pose puzzles in epistemology concerning how to think about the nor...
This paper is concerned with formal solutions to the lottery paradox on which high probability defea...
The lottery paradox occurs when we combine two plausible claims about epistemic justification: Proba...
Abstract The Preface Paradox, first introduced by David Makinson (1961), pres...
Imagine that the preface to a professor’s book implicitly asserts that all the propositions in the r...
Many epistemologists have responded to the lottery paradox by proposing formal rules according to wh...
In a recent article, Douven and Williamson offer both (i) a rebuttal of various recent suggested suf...
So-called two-envelope, wallet-game, Sleeping Beauty and Newcomb’s paradoxes are resolved through si...
http://dx.doi.org/10.5007/1808-1711.2008v12n2p203The preface paradox is the apparent pragmatic incon...
We reflect on lessons that the lottery and preface paradoxes provide for the logic of uncertain infe...
In this paper I argue that there is a preface paradox for intention. The preface paradox for intenti...
In this paper I argue that there is a preface paradox for intention. The preface paradox for intenti...
The thesis that high probability suffices for rational belief, while initially plausible, is known t...
The lottery and preface paradoxes pose puzzles in epistemology concerning how to think about the nor...
This paper is concerned with formal solutions to the lottery paradox on which high probability defea...
The lottery paradox occurs when we combine two plausible claims about epistemic justification: Proba...
Abstract The Preface Paradox, first introduced by David Makinson (1961), pres...
Imagine that the preface to a professor’s book implicitly asserts that all the propositions in the r...
Many epistemologists have responded to the lottery paradox by proposing formal rules according to wh...
In a recent article, Douven and Williamson offer both (i) a rebuttal of various recent suggested suf...
So-called two-envelope, wallet-game, Sleeping Beauty and Newcomb’s paradoxes are resolved through si...