The literature on recursive preference attributes all the time variation in bond risk premia to stochastic volatility. We introduce another source: time-varying prices of risk that co-move with inflation and consumption growth through a preference shock. We find that a time-varying price of risk driven by inflation dominates stochastic volatility in contributing to time variation in term premia. Once preference shocks are present, term premia are economically the same with or without stochastic volatility
Risk premia in the consumption capital asset pricing model depend on preferences and dividend. We de...
Under linear approximations for asset prices and the assumption of indepen-dence between expected co...
The first chapter “Rare Disasters and the Term Structure of Interest Rates ” offers an explanation f...
The literature on recursive preference attributes all the time variation in bond risk premia to stoc...
In the short-run, bond risk premia exhibit pronounced spikes around major economic and financial cri...
Less than you think. Macro-finance term structure models rely too heavily on the volatility of expec...
Empirically, the conditional volatility of aggregate consumption growth varies over time. While many...
This paper estimates a joint econometric model of consumption growth and long-term real interest rat...
In this paper we analyze the performance of an equilibrium model of the term structure of the intere...
Empirically, the conditional volatility of aggregate consumption growth varies over time. While many...
We show that inflation risk is priced in stock returns and that inflation risk premia in the cross-s...
Common statistical measures of bond risk premia are volatile and countercyclical. This paper uses su...
In a parsimonious regime switching model, we find strong evidence that expected consumption growth v...
This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with...
The first chapter offers an explanation for the properties of the nominal term structure of interest...
Risk premia in the consumption capital asset pricing model depend on preferences and dividend. We de...
Under linear approximations for asset prices and the assumption of indepen-dence between expected co...
The first chapter “Rare Disasters and the Term Structure of Interest Rates ” offers an explanation f...
The literature on recursive preference attributes all the time variation in bond risk premia to stoc...
In the short-run, bond risk premia exhibit pronounced spikes around major economic and financial cri...
Less than you think. Macro-finance term structure models rely too heavily on the volatility of expec...
Empirically, the conditional volatility of aggregate consumption growth varies over time. While many...
This paper estimates a joint econometric model of consumption growth and long-term real interest rat...
In this paper we analyze the performance of an equilibrium model of the term structure of the intere...
Empirically, the conditional volatility of aggregate consumption growth varies over time. While many...
We show that inflation risk is priced in stock returns and that inflation risk premia in the cross-s...
Common statistical measures of bond risk premia are volatile and countercyclical. This paper uses su...
In a parsimonious regime switching model, we find strong evidence that expected consumption growth v...
This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with...
The first chapter offers an explanation for the properties of the nominal term structure of interest...
Risk premia in the consumption capital asset pricing model depend on preferences and dividend. We de...
Under linear approximations for asset prices and the assumption of indepen-dence between expected co...
The first chapter “Rare Disasters and the Term Structure of Interest Rates ” offers an explanation f...