Towards Data Driven Model Improvement

In the area of student knowledge assessment, knowledge tracing is a model that has been used for over a decade to predict student knowledge and performance. Many modifications to this model have been proposed and evaluated, however, the modifications are often based on a combination of intuition and experience in the domain. This method of model improvement can be difficult for researchers without high level of domain experience and furthermore, the best improvements to the model could be unintuitive ones. Therefore, we propose a completely data driven approach to model improvement. This alternative allows for researchers to evaluate which aspects of a model are most likely to result in model performance improvement. Our results suggest a variety of different improvements to knowledge tracing many of which have not been explored